我想問美國長期國債的風險

本帖於 2025-04-13 10:56:09 時間, 由普通用戶 RomaVacation 編輯

Some people are talking about some long term treasury lost 1/2 of face value. Is that normal since they were bought/aucitoned during Covid years when the interest was really low?

Is there concern interest could go up to say 8%-10% in a few years? 10 year or 30 years treasury bond interest around 4-5% now. I thought the concern now is recession. If so, Fed would cut interest then. 

________________

2020:

  • In January 2020 (pre-pandemic declarations), the 10-year yield was around 1.8%
  • As COVID-19 concerns intensified in February-March 2020, there was a massive flight to safety
  • On March 9, 2020, the yield briefly dropped below 0.5% for the first time in history
  • The 10-year yield hit its all-time low of approximately 0.52% in August 2020
  • By the end of 2020, rates had recovered slightly to around 0.9-1.0%

2021:

  • Rates began climbing as vaccine rollouts progressed and economic recovery expectations grew
  • By March 2021, the 10-year yield had risen to approximately 1.7%

 

所有跟帖: 

赤字會越來越高,發債越來越多,越來越沒人買 -dujyy262- 給 dujyy262 發送悄悄話 (218 bytes) () 04/13/2025 postreply 10:41:19

what is best place to invest? -RomaVacation- 給 RomaVacation 發送悄悄話 (298 bytes) () 04/13/2025 postreply 10:53:37

對內加速貶值,囤貨,黃金,長期這個趨勢不變,就要象伏虎一樣 -dujyy262- 給 dujyy262 發送悄悄話 (215 bytes) () 04/13/2025 postreply 11:18:04

The Bond Market’s Rout Is Bad News for the U.S. Economy -Olive_2- 給 Olive_2 發送悄悄話 Olive_2 的博客首頁 (0 bytes) () 04/13/2025 postreply 10:51:55

這個問題太重要了。我認為不理解長債是不能安心退休的 -春天的草地- 給 春天的草地 發送悄悄話 春天的草地 的博客首頁 (1650 bytes) () 04/13/2025 postreply 11:37:34

長期國債非常重要。但沒有人知道未來的走向 -未知- 給 未知 發送悄悄話 未知 的博客首頁 (171 bytes) () 04/13/2025 postreply 12:25:49

現在是在沉沒邊緣掙紮 -digitalhorizon- 給 digitalhorizon 發送悄悄話 (0 bytes) () 04/13/2025 postreply 12:28:30

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