Take this specific example...

Before Tariff, the estimate was that if we could not break that resistance at 0.618, then we would go through wave 3 with a target range of 425 +/-

Considering the risk of Tariff, you could buy put spread of 475-425 for a 50 points range of protection, the premium would likely cost $10 for a 3 weeks options.

Of course, if the Tariff annouced was very mild, stock market will rally, and you would lose this $10. But when you consistently apply this methodoly combined with key pivot point on the wave structure, the probability will be on your side. 

所有跟帖: 

謝謝,我不知道應該hedge多長,用了sell put還是put spread,哈哈 -BrightLine- 給 BrightLine 發送悄悄話 BrightLine 的博客首頁 (0 bytes) () 04/11/2025 postreply 12:19:02

時間上要跟據具體情況。比如說我的Meta是買到今天的Put, 但特斯拉買了4月底因為財報要來了 -三心三意- 給 三心三意 發送悄悄話 (0 bytes) () 04/11/2025 postreply 12:25:00

是不是-如果此股近來或NEAR FUTURE表現不好,現PUT; 如果近期好直到一個將來點,便不好,就在那將來點PUT? -nmyj- 給 nmyj 發送悄悄話 nmyj 的博客首頁 (0 bytes) () 04/11/2025 postreply 12:48:14

Not sure what u mean. maybe first read basic option concept? -三心三意- 給 三心三意 發送悄悄話 (0 bytes) () 04/11/2025 postreply 12:57:11

肯定不能用sell put 啊,that's not hedge -三心三意- 給 三心三意 發送悄悄話 (0 bytes) () 04/11/2025 postreply 12:26:02

you mean "buy Put"? -BrightLine- 給 BrightLine 發送悄悄話 BrightLine 的博客首頁 (0 bytes) () 04/11/2025 postreply 12:27:23

你把老師都糊塗了 -麻你- 給 麻你 發送悄悄話 麻你 的博客首頁 (30 bytes) () 04/11/2025 postreply 12:38:00

他沒有好好看書:) -三心三意- 給 三心三意 發送悄悄話 (0 bytes) () 04/11/2025 postreply 12:40:00

Too thick... I read some and then practice some...lol -BrightLine- 給 BrightLine 發送悄悄話 BrightLine 的博客首頁 (47 bytes) () 04/11/2025 postreply 12:41:31

Beginner has dumb luck? -BrightLine- 給 BrightLine 發送悄悄話 BrightLine 的博客首頁 (167 bytes) () 04/11/2025 postreply 12:40:43

sell put 用來買股, 掙點premium啦, 我有看書。 哈哈,但是隻明白最簡單的 -bogbog- 給 bogbog 發送悄悄話 bogbog 的博客首頁 (167 bytes) () 04/11/2025 postreply 12:42:50

You are exactly right. -BrightLine- 給 BrightLine 發送悄悄話 BrightLine 的博客首頁 (0 bytes) () 04/11/2025 postreply 13:18:07

這個接股的方法也有不好的一麵,資金不能用,碰到大幅度急跌就不合算了。 -bogbog- 給 bogbog 發送悄悄話 bogbog 的博客首頁 (66 bytes) () 04/11/2025 postreply 13:23:54

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