國債為什麽掉

來源: 三心三意 於 2025-04-08 20:57:33 [] [舊帖] [給我悄悄話] 閱讀數 : (613 bytes)

1: Margin call so someone had to sell Bond to raise cash to cover stock loss

2: China and Japan selling bonds

3: Hedge fund "bond carry trade" and now have to unwind

4: Tariff introduce worry of inflation

5: Treasure Auction tomorrow so far has weak instituion demand and thus raise fears

Keep in mind, Bond market is much much much larger than stock market. So, there is a clear run for liquidity right now on the market. 

I think Wall Street is forcing Trump's hand. If Bond market collapse, so goes rest of the world.

所有跟帖： 

• 這個解釋比較合理 -桃花源裏人家- ♂ 給 桃花源裏人家 發送悄悄話 桃花源裏人家 的博客首頁 (0 bytes) () 04/08/2025 postreply 21:03:35

• 大師提醒的好 -與莊共舞- ♂ 給 與莊共舞 發送悄悄話 (0 bytes) () 04/08/2025 postreply 21:04:00

• Fed has plenty of ammunition and step in when necessary -KC28- ♀ 給 KC28 發送悄悄話 (0 bytes) () 04/08/2025 postreply 21:04:01

• Fed doesn't want to pay for the mistake Trump is making -KC28- ♀ 給 KC28 發送悄悄話 (0 bytes) () 04/08/2025 postreply 21:05:04

• 國債如過山車，糊裏糊塗拿著4.5%的票息，川衛兵不至於把國債作廢吧？ -Octobter- ♂ 給 Octobter 發送悄悄話 (0 bytes) () 04/08/2025 postreply 21:08:46

• Spx要是能直接殺到4200就爽了，肯定有不少爆倉的 -伯克希爾哈薩維- ♂ 給 伯克希爾哈薩維 發送悄悄話 (0 bytes) () 04/08/2025 postreply 21:11:05

• Maintain price stability takes priority over max employment -KC28- ♀ 給 KC28 發送悄悄話 (157 bytes) () 04/08/2025 postreply 21:16:27

• 1,3 不太象, 一般基金沒那麽大賬戶吧 -mobius- ♂ 給 mobius 發送悄悄話 (0 bytes) () 04/08/2025 postreply 21:19:20

• LOL, there are trillion $$ at risk here :) -三心三意- ♂ 給 三心三意 發送悄悄話 (360 bytes) () 04/08/2025 postreply 21:25:33

• Citadel could be wiped out if this is not addressed -三心三意- ♂ 給 三心三意 發送悄悄話 (0 bytes) () 04/08/2025 postreply 21:27:11

• 要是能清零幾個為富不仁的就太好了 -mobius- ♂ 給 mobius 發送悄悄話 (0 bytes) () 04/08/2025 postreply 21:29:24

• bond market和股市本來都是大概50T的規模，不過股市最近掉了差不多10個T -丁丁在美洲- ♂ 給 丁丁在美洲 發送悄悄話 丁丁在美洲 的博客首頁 (71 bytes) () 04/08/2025 postreply 21:41:21

• 怪不得有說法要救債市, 犧牲股市. -mobius- ♂ 給 mobius 發送悄悄話 (0 bytes) () 04/08/2025 postreply 21:46:30

• US dollar has strengthenedn against Chinese Yuan -KC28- ♀ 給 KC28 發送悄悄話 (111 bytes) () 04/08/2025 postreply 21:42:47

• 會不會資本外逃央行要穩住？ -mobius- ♂ 給 mobius 發送悄悄話 (0 bytes) () 04/08/2025 postreply 21:47:47

• Foreign investment in China dropped about 90% from 2021 peak -KC28- ♀ 給 KC28 發送悄悄話 (112 bytes) () 04/08/2025 postreply 21:58:21

• China FDI: Year 2021, $344B; Year 2024, $116B. -BeLe- ♀ 給 BeLe 發送悄悄話 BeLe 的博客首頁 (1929 bytes) () 04/08/2025 postreply 22:47:25

• 轉一個bond 大牛的分析：債卷市場有事，但應該不是中國幹的。 -mobius- ♂ 給 mobius 發送悄悄話 (81 bytes) () 04/08/2025 postreply 22:07:54

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