學習了一下納粹德國期間德國的經濟和股票. -:)

State Intervention: Unlike a free market, the performance of stocks during this period was largely dictated by government policy. Firms that aligned with the regime’s priorities—whether through direct state contracts or ideological conformity—generally fared better.

Manipulated Market Signals: Because the government often intervened to stabilize or direct economic activity, the “performance” of a stock did not always reflect the underlying fundamentals. Instead, it was more an indicator of political favor and access to state resources.

Historical Retrospective: Analysis of stock performance during this era must be understood in context. The state’s role in the economy makes it challenging to separate genuine market success from politically driven outcomes.

 

In summary, sectors tied to rearmament, heavy industry, chemicals, and infrastructure generally enjoyed better stock performance due to government support, while consumer-oriented, export-dependent, and traditional financial sectors struggled amidst economic downturn and heavy state intervention.

 

所有跟帖: 

你是說現在納粹時代重現? -秋前- 給 秋前 發送悄悄話 (0 bytes) () 03/15/2025 postreply 05:43:25

哈哈. 我啥也沒說. 那都是你說的. -:) -NCNE- 給 NCNE 發送悄悄話 (0 bytes) () 03/15/2025 postreply 08:43:20

這個是幸存者偏差啊。當時美國是羅斯福時代,也是美國曆史上政府監管最大的時期 -三心三意- 給 三心三意 發送悄悄話 (95 bytes) () 03/15/2025 postreply 06:44:53

一個用國法、 一個用幫規. 天下那有不監管的. -NCNE- 給 NCNE 發送悄悄話 (0 bytes) () 03/15/2025 postreply 09:49:26

請您先登陸,再發跟帖!