三心三意 , 哪個NVDA期權是最好的?Thanks

本帖於 2025-02-23 13:12:30 時間, 由普通用戶 BrightLine 編輯

 

1, Bull Call Spread (Less Protection, Lower Cost)

A bull call spread can hedge downside risk while keeping some upside potential. You buy a lower strike call and sell a higher strike call, reducing the cost.

Example: $130/$150 Call Spread

  • Buy a $130 call for $9.50
  • Sell a $150 call for $1.20
  • Net cost per share: $9.50 - $1.20 = $8.30
  • Total cost for 10,000 shares: $8.30 × 10,000 = $83,000

Outcome Scenarios

Scenario 1: NVDA Stays Below $130

Both options expire worthless.
You lose the $83,000 premium but still own NVDA.

Scenario 2: NVDA Rises Above $150

Your $130 call gains value, but your $150 call caps profits.
Max profit = ($150 - $130 - $8.30) × 10,000 = $78,000.

Best If: You are moderately bullish and want upside exposure with some hedge.


2, Bear Call Spread (Best for Income & Limited Risk)

A bear call spread is a defensive play that generates income while providing limited downside protection.

Example: Sell $140 Call, Buy $150 Call

  • Sell a $140 call for $5.20
  • Buy a $150 call for $1.20
  • Net credit per share: $5.20 - $1.20 = $4.00
  • Total credit received: $4.00 × 10,000 = $40,000

Outcome Scenarios

Scenario 1: NVDA Stays Below $140

You keep the $40,000 premium.
Stock position remains untouched.

Scenario 2: NVDA Goes Above $150

Your loss is capped at ($150 - $140 - $4.00) = $6 per share.
Max total loss: $60,000 (but the $40,000 premium offsets most of it).

Best If: You think NVDA won’t rise much past $140-$150 and want income with limited downside risk.


Comparing Strategies

Strategy Cost? Protection Level Upside Potential Best If…
Protective Put ($130 put only) $43,000 Full protection Unlimited Expect big drop
Collar ($130 put + $150 call) $31,000 Moderate protection Capped at $150 Want low-cost insurance
Bull Call Spread ($130/$150) $83,000 ? Some protection Limited gains Want upside with hedge
Bear Call Spread ($140/$150) - $40,000 (credit) No real protection Income, limited downside Expect NVDA to stay below $140-150

 

所有跟帖: 

none of these protect you from a big drop on NVDA -三心三意- 給 三心三意 發送悄悄話 (0 bytes) () 02/23/2025 postreply 13:14:00

若擔憂big drop,是否買put?或者像我一樣,就是事先sell -cnrhm2017- 給 cnrhm2017 發送悄悄話 cnrhm2017 的博客首頁 (0 bytes) () 02/23/2025 postreply 13:19:24

Yes, you want to use put spread to protect. -三心三意- 給 三心三意 發送悄悄話 (713 bytes) () 02/23/2025 postreply 13:33:33

Buy put spread 140:125 (1:1), 這是買一筆put,還是2筆put? -cnrhm2017- 給 cnrhm2017 發送悄悄話 cnrhm2017 的博客首頁 (0 bytes) () 02/23/2025 postreply 13:54:55

所以你就是純粹買Put沒有sell put,對吧? 若這樣,make sense。這種策略是保護大量下跌的 -cnrhm2017- 給 cnrhm2017 發送悄悄話 cnrhm2017 的博客首頁 (0 bytes) () 02/23/2025 postreply 13:59:06

Hmm, OK, specific steps is。。。 -三心三意- 給 三心三意 發送悄悄話 (154 bytes) () 02/23/2025 postreply 14:12:23

oh,你是保護+低買,總體偏牛,我明白一些了,謝謝! -cnrhm2017- 給 cnrhm2017 發送悄悄話 cnrhm2017 的博客首頁 (0 bytes) () 02/23/2025 postreply 14:15:13

What if it goes 165 or 170? -BrightLine- 給 BrightLine 發送悄悄話 BrightLine 的博客首頁 (0 bytes) () 02/23/2025 postreply 14:02:12

160的話,則市值到3.9T,28日之前不可能,所以我認同三心的猜測,但是中期我還是堅持149-164的目標價 -cnrhm2017- 給 cnrhm2017 發送悄悄話 cnrhm2017 的博客首頁 (0 bytes) () 02/23/2025 postreply 14:05:27

我不認為會跌 -BrightLine- 給 BrightLine 發送悄悄話 BrightLine 的博客首頁 (0 bytes) () 02/23/2025 postreply 14:30:02

請你和三心分享下你們看牛的No 1理由,隻要一個理由,我也會分享 -cnrhm2017- 給 cnrhm2017 發送悄悄話 cnrhm2017 的博客首頁 (0 bytes) () 02/23/2025 postreply 14:37:24

我自己用AI,開發AI程序,覺得NVDA前景光明,夠不夠?哈哈 -BrightLine- 給 BrightLine 發送悄悄話 BrightLine 的博客首頁 (191 bytes) () 02/23/2025 postreply 14:39:38

短期沒法這麽看,我其實更擔心nz和spy -cnrhm2017- 給 cnrhm2017 發送悄悄話 cnrhm2017 的博客首頁 (0 bytes) () 02/23/2025 postreply 14:44:34

Nvda可以改變大勢啊 -BrightLine- 給 BrightLine 發送悄悄話 BrightLine 的博客首頁 (0 bytes) () 02/23/2025 postreply 14:46:42

就算NVDA下星期衝過160, 我覺得大概率也一定會回來的。 -三心三意- 給 三心三意 發送悄悄話 (70 bytes) () 02/23/2025 postreply 14:17:52

那我能不能買點call? 我不相信它會跌。怎麽買,建議一下? -BrightLine- 給 BrightLine 發送悄悄話 BrightLine 的博客首頁 (167 bytes) () 02/23/2025 postreply 14:28:05

如果你認為它一定會漲,可以做150到160的ratio call. -三心三意- 給 三心三意 發送悄悄話 (0 bytes) () 02/23/2025 postreply 14:57:00

worst case 你170賣掉股票。但這個策略沒有任何下方保護 -三心三意- 給 三心三意 發送悄悄話 (0 bytes) () 02/23/2025 postreply 14:58:00

而且隻有150以上才有profit -三心三意- 給 三心三意 發送悄悄話 (0 bytes) () 02/23/2025 postreply 14:58:00

Even more aggressive is to buy 145-160 call spread -三心三意- 給 三心三意 發送悄悄話 (160 bytes) () 02/23/2025 postreply 15:16:29

謝謝,我不覺得需要130以下的保護,也許買點call,或者明天再跌就買點股票? -BrightLine- 給 BrightLine 發送悄悄話 BrightLine 的博客首頁 (167 bytes) () 02/23/2025 postreply 15:21:36

I think the chance to go above 160 is less than 10% -三心三意- 給 三心三意 發送悄悄話 (0 bytes) () 02/23/2025 postreply 16:27:07

非常棒的策略 -007爸爸- 給 007爸爸 發送悄悄話 (288 bytes) () 02/23/2025 postreply 14:43:39

條件是英偉達必須在3/7前stay within 110-160 -三心三意- 給 三心三意 發送悄悄話 (0 bytes) () 02/23/2025 postreply 15:14:33

謝謝指教! -007爸爸- 給 007爸爸 發送悄悄話 (0 bytes) () 02/23/2025 postreply 15:36:32

不過下星期買put thread 可能有點晚了。出非NVDA在周3之前能先漲到140, 任何又掉到135 -三心三意- 給 三心三意 發送悄悄話 (0 bytes) () 02/23/2025 postreply 13:36:06

瞎說一句(不負責任) -任靜鍋-- 給 任靜鍋- 發送悄悄話 任靜鍋- 的博客首頁 (462 bytes) () 02/23/2025 postreply 13:40:46

我不擔心,哈哈,隻是想練兵而已,謝謝 -BrightLine- 給 BrightLine 發送悄悄話 BrightLine 的博客首頁 (167 bytes) () 02/23/2025 postreply 14:03:36

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