我相信你的一直解釋符合EWT general rule. 但是在已知規則下可能有多種浪的畫法都符合EWT general rule,要根據股價未來的走勢繼續判斷。我覺得這是千人千浪的說法的由來。比如說triangle的判斷,也和三個subwave structure以及 Fabonacci 結構不矛盾。
In Elliott Wave Theory (EWT), there can be multiple ways to label the waves (hypotheses), and each of those hypotheses must be consistent with the established rules of the theory. As the market progresses, analysts monitor the price action to determine whether the previously hypothesized wave counts still align with the unfolding price movement, or whether they need to be revised or abandoned due to violations of the rules.
This iterative process of adjusting hypotheses based on new data (in this case, market movement) is indeed somewhat similar to Bayesian reasoning. In Bayesian inference, hypotheses are updated as new evidence is observed, and probabilities are adjusted accordingly. However, in the context of Elliott Wave Theory, this process doesn't strictly involve updating probabilities in the same mathematical sense that Bayesian reasoning does, but it does involve continuous evaluation and adjustment of the wave counts as new information becomes available.