Where are we with Tesla....

Currently, Tesla sits right below 50D EMA + 0.382 retracement from the big trend that started in Oct of 2024. Taking into consideration that 0.382 is the minimal retracement for a correction, Tesla certainly has two paths forward

1: If Tesla can hold the level around today and start to rally, it would meet the minimal correction requirement + successfully defend the 50D EMA, and on its way to climbing towards 5th wave. To confirm that 5th wave is indeed underway, Tesla needs to take out 440 which is a key resistance level.  

2: However, a normal correction is typically between 0.5 and 0.618 retracement. This would take Tesla to roughly 330 +/- 20 points level. A pullback to this level is "completely" normal, and frankly, I would prefer it goes there, because this would set it up for a nice and strong push to complete 5th wave up.

3: Lastly, I do want to point out that, in an extreme negative environment, stock could correct all the way to 0.768 level, which is also nicely aligned around 200D EMA. I dont expect Tesla to go there. But if it does, that would be a life-time buying opportunity.

Chart below for reference

 

所有跟帖: 

謝謝分享。這回我畫的一樣 :) -成功的兔- 給 成功的兔 發送悄悄話 (0 bytes) () 02/06/2025 postreply 00:33:59

感謝三哥的極時分析 -Olive_2- 給 Olive_2 發送悄悄話 (0 bytes) () 02/06/2025 postreply 02:32:22

TSLA price actions indicate that this stock will not be -jw2009- 給 jw2009 發送悄悄話 jw2009 的博客首頁 (52 bytes) () 02/06/2025 postreply 04:08:05

估計還有得跌 -BrightLine- 給 BrightLine 發送悄悄話 BrightLine 的博客首頁 (0 bytes) () 02/06/2025 postreply 04:46:47

如果跌了你正好加倉啊,哈哈哈 -三心三意- 給 三心三意 發送悄悄話 (0 bytes) () 02/06/2025 postreply 05:56:10

that is correct. -BrightLine- 給 BrightLine 發送悄悄話 BrightLine 的博客首頁 (0 bytes) () 02/06/2025 postreply 06:13:42

我也一直在注意特斯拉,就是因為對估值不放心在觀望 -桃花源裏人家- 給 桃花源裏人家 發送悄悄話 桃花源裏人家 的博客首頁 (0 bytes) () 02/06/2025 postreply 07:59:01

謝謝+ 請教三心老師 -NewLeaf2021- 給 NewLeaf2021 發送悄悄話 (263 bytes) () 02/06/2025 postreply 06:28:18

他是月圖,而且這張圖的Fib不是回調, 而是上升時段的Fib -三心三意- 給 三心三意 發送悄悄話 (180 bytes) () 02/06/2025 postreply 07:05:21

喔。好。 謝謝! -NewLeaf2021- 給 NewLeaf2021 發送悄悄話 (0 bytes) () 02/06/2025 postreply 07:08:31

如果沒有今年autonomous taxi 落地 和optimus量產,是不是這估值就撐不住? -元亨- 給 元亨 發送悄悄話 (0 bytes) () 02/06/2025 postreply 06:31:17

Optimus 量產不在任何機構的估值裏,但如果Robotaxi今年不落地股價要先回到200多 -三心三意- 給 三心三意 發送悄悄話 (0 bytes) () 02/06/2025 postreply 06:55:02

TSLA 昨天剛公布大量招ENGINEES -NewLeaf2021- 給 NewLeaf2021 發送悄悄話 (56 bytes) () 02/06/2025 postreply 07:16:40

我今早開始買回TSLA,建了預計持倉的20%倉位。 -雲起千百度- 給 雲起千百度 發送悄悄話 雲起千百度 的博客首頁 (0 bytes) () 02/06/2025 postreply 08:02:37

哇,你給的更低。我以為350塊錢就差不多了。哈哈 -MarkM76- 給 MarkM76 發送悄悄話 (0 bytes) () 02/06/2025 postreply 09:10:40

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