均線,周線上反應出來的會是幾個月甚至一年以上的趨勢,所以現在周線上是絕對的牛市啊

本帖於 2024-12-29 12:27:58 時間, 由普通用戶 三心三意 編輯
回答: 3低手隻會用均線2024-12-29 11:48:52

不過我把日線放大, 這樣可以看到bigger picture。

This is the bull trend that started from beginning of 2023, and we are now in the final 5th wave.

The ABC structure we refered to in the post above is the 4th wave (the yellow color) inside the outter 5th wave (the blue color).

A even more persmistic view by some people is that we already finished the 5th wave (ie, the yellow 3rd count in the chart is really a yellow 5th count, which, if true, will also complete the blue 5th wave). In this persmistic view, QQQ would have completed all 5 waves started from early 2023 and will enter into a big correction.

I am not holding this persmistic view just yet as I still see market going up in 2025, and therefore, for now, I am treating this as yellow 4th wave pullback, before another ATH in 2025 for 5th yellow wave

所有跟帖: 

謝三心兄! -低手隻會用均線- 給 低手隻會用均線 發送悄悄話 (0 bytes) () 12/29/2024 postreply 12:42:19

還有,這些分析不僅僅是波浪,前麵標的484也是很接近200D SMA。 如果守不住那,我們就真有熊市的可能了 -三心三意- 給 三心三意 發送悄悄話 (51 bytes) () 12/29/2024 postreply 12:47:25

3 -低手隻會用均線- 給 低手隻會用均線 發送悄悄話 (0 bytes) () 12/29/2024 postreply 12:55:02

非常巧,484 +/- 也是在周線上非常接接近50EMA。 這將是一個牛熊分界線 -三心三意- 給 三心三意 發送悄悄話 (0 bytes) () 12/29/2024 postreply 12:57:57

請教三心老師,您前麵提到MA200, 後麵又說EMA50, 是要混著看嗎?謝謝! -銀杏銀杏2- 給 銀杏銀杏2 發送悄悄話 (0 bytes) () 12/29/2024 postreply 18:26:39

200天一般看SMA(simple MA)。50天看(Exponential MA) -三心三意- 給 三心三意 發送悄悄話 (169 bytes) () 12/29/2024 postreply 19:06:16

感謝! -銀杏銀杏2- 給 銀杏銀杏2 發送悄悄話 (0 bytes) () 12/29/2024 postreply 19:26:36

找到了, 這是 Link。。。 -三心三意- 給 三心三意 發送悄悄話 (190 bytes) () 12/29/2024 postreply 19:46:28

謝謝三心老師! 收藏了 :) -銀杏銀杏2- 給 銀杏銀杏2 發送悄悄話 (0 bytes) () 01/01/2025 postreply 14:52:21

多謝分享, 5-3好像不符合3浪特征 -元亨- 給 元亨 發送悄悄話 (0 bytes) () 12/29/2024 postreply 18:15:39

那一個5-3? -三心三意- 給 三心三意 發送悄悄話 (0 bytes) () 12/29/2024 postreply 19:02:52

450-539 -元亨- 給 元亨 發送悄悄話 (0 bytes) () 12/30/2024 postreply 07:12:18

I see。 這個Final 5 浪 (藍色的)不是Impulsive, 而是Ending Diagonal -三心三意- 給 三心三意 發送悄悄話 (314 bytes) () 12/30/2024 postreply 08:38:28

有道理 ,可以走擴張ed -元亨- 給 元亨 發送悄悄話 (0 bytes) () 12/30/2024 postreply 13:19:52

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