Let's use this example for a deeper understanding of TA

本帖於 2024-12-05 08:12:31 時間, 由普通用戶 三心三意 編輯

If you look at this tri-angle for IWM, you can see that the lower line is right at the gap that was formed on 11/24 (gap here means IWM gap higher on 11/24).

Why is this important?

When a gap is formed, it basically means one thing, anyone who enters into IWM position on or after 11/24 is paying a price that is HIGHER than the lower end of that gap, which is 239 (you will not be able to buy below this price due to the gap). Now, put yourself in their shoes, you would probably be a little worried as IWM consolidate and price moves lower after 11/24.

This is what we called "selling pressure" in TA, meaning, there is a high likelyhood of more people thinking of selling due to this gap. However, if the stock price bounce off this low (which is the lower end of this tri-angle), it basically says that instituions are willing to step in and accumulate those shares that are sold at this level.

If there are enough buyers, they will eventually exhaust the "selling pressure" coming from people who bought at the gap. When this happens, more and more buyers come in, and stock eventually breaks up and goes higher

On the other hand, if stock drops below the lower end, it basically signals that instituions buyers no longer want to support stock at this level (maybe due to some other news that we dont know yet, but whatever the case, their action is telling us something else is going on and stock likely go lower)

 

所有跟帖: 

這是1小時放大圖,可以看到在4處小鈴鐺的地方都被買起來了 -三心三意- 給 三心三意 發送悄悄話 (81 bytes) () 12/05/2024 postreply 08:23:56

我的理解是-認知那個GAP, 然後看第二天的走向,用來界定此GAP是Breakpoint? -nmyj- 給 nmyj 發送悄悄話 nmyj 的博客首頁 (0 bytes) () 12/05/2024 postreply 08:25:38

Not really, try to read post again. 可能信息太多了要一點時間 -三心三意- 給 三心三意 發送悄悄話 (0 bytes) () 12/05/2024 postreply 08:35:04

謝老師。再交作業 -nmyj- 給 nmyj 發送悄悄話 nmyj 的博客首頁 (504 bytes) () 12/05/2024 postreply 09:09:11

Yes, also another very important sign is volume -三心三意- 給 三心三意 發送悄悄話 (520 bytes) () 12/05/2024 postreply 09:21:05

One more thng, tri-agnle does not mean it will go up -三心三意- 給 三心三意 發送悄悄話 (111 bytes) () 12/05/2024 postreply 09:24:22

又要記筆記了。哈哈 -BrightLine- 給 BrightLine 發送悄悄話 (0 bytes) () 12/05/2024 postreply 08:42:46

一定地。這個對你很及時。因為你剛學會曲線。每次畫完看看有沒有三角。 -雨女- 給 雨女 發送悄悄話 雨女 的博客首頁 (0 bytes) () 12/05/2024 postreply 09:10:11

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