邏輯的線索其實也是分主次的,發現主線靠的是認知力而不是邏輯本身(否則就成了邏輯的邏輯了)。以當下的以沙戰爭為例:

本文內容已被 [ 中間小謝 ] 在 2023-11-11 11:08:03 編輯過。如有問題,請報告版主或論壇管理刪除.

I think Israel has no chance of victory in the long term even if it is capable of occupying Gaza (and most likely it will occupy at least the northern part of it). My main logic is straightforward: the whole event is part of the decomposition of the global framework of power which is the result of western colonialism. I believe this is the main history of the world in the decades to come. Unless this judgement of mine is false, otherwise Israel can not have a lone win.

Yet, how the course of the war will go? I do not know, since it involves too many secondary logics that would create numerous possible paths to the single endpoint.

 

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其實要先定義啥是羸。得地、消滅對手還是得和平 -stonebench- 給 stonebench 發送悄悄話 stonebench 的博客首頁 (141 bytes) () 11/11/2023 postreply 11:59:51

scrambled egg or sun shinning up: White or yellow distinct. -TJKCB- 給 TJKCB 發送悄悄話 TJKCB 的博客首頁 (0 bytes) () 11/11/2023 postreply 12:19:41

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