Strategy

來源: Commentate 2009-07-16 18:01:51 [] [舊帖] [給我悄悄話] 本文已被閱讀: 次 (568 bytes)
本文內容已被 [ Commentate ] 在 2009-07-17 17:21:51 編輯過。如有問題,請報告版主或論壇管理刪除.
If it shows tail, switch coin, until you get a head, then keep using this coin forever.
The idea to find the prob*****ility is to consider different cases:
1. the first toss is a head (the probability os which is 1/4)
2. getting the first head on second toss (prob = (3/4)*(1/4))
3. getting the first head on third too (prob = (3/4)*(3/4)*(1/4))
and so on,...

The above cases will give you different positions on ladder when you are sure you have the fair coin, from this moment you start a random walk up and down with the same probability.

所有跟帖: 

回複:Strategy -Commentate- 給 Commentate 發送悄悄話 (64 bytes) () 07/17/2009 postreply 10:23:02

If there are m steps up and n steps down -屋漏痕- 給 屋漏痕 發送悄悄話 屋漏痕 的博客首頁 (61 bytes) () 07/17/2009 postreply 10:55:12

Cool, then we are done! -Commentate- 給 Commentate 發送悄悄話 (0 bytes) () 07/17/2009 postreply 11:24:38

What about the chance of staying on the ladder? -dayuwang- 給 dayuwang 發送悄悄話 (0 bytes) () 07/17/2009 postreply 12:29:09

0... if one keeps walking. -屋漏痕- 給 屋漏痕 發送悄悄話 屋漏痕 的博客首頁 (0 bytes) () 07/17/2009 postreply 12:50:45

回複:What about the chance of staying on the ladder? -crazy_math- 給 crazy_math 發送悄悄話 (133 bytes) () 08/07/2009 postreply 02:22:02

差不多就是這樣 -康MM- 給 康MM 發送悄悄話 康MM 的博客首頁 (52 bytes) () 07/17/2009 postreply 17:19:34

這樣的考官挺折磨人。膽小的人碰上就倒黴了:)不過你倒給提了個好醒。謝謝! -戲雨飛鷹- 給 戲雨飛鷹 發送悄悄話 戲雨飛鷹 的博客首頁 (0 bytes) () 07/18/2009 postreply 07:26:42

回複:Strategy -雪山飛魚- 給 雪山飛魚 發送悄悄話 (169 bytes) () 07/18/2009 postreply 10:47:47

的確當時沒細想。不過, -Commentate- 給 Commentate 發送悄悄話 (136 bytes) () 07/18/2009 postreply 15:20:43

解釋一下我的想法 -雪山飛魚- 給 雪山飛魚 發送悄悄話 (479 bytes) () 07/18/2009 postreply 16:11:32

不是很明白 -Commentate- 給 Commentate 發送悄悄話 (259 bytes) () 07/18/2009 postreply 18:31:39

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