回複:IBM 一月

來源: HF: 2009-01-03 13:55:16 [] [舊帖] [給我悄悄話] 本文已被閱讀: 次 (619 bytes)
本文內容已被 [ HF: ] 在 2009-01-19 10:04:06 編輯過。如有問題,請報告版主或論壇管理刪除.
(1)
Consider the strategy: pick a cut off value b, if the last ticket value a>b, stop, otherwise continune.

Let y (as a function of b) is the future expected return if the last ticket value a <= b (hence the game continunes). We have
y = \int_b^1 x dx + y b -c
so y = 1/2(1+b)-c/(1-b)
y is maximized when b = 1-sqrt(2c), and y_max = 1-sqrt(2c)

Hence the strategy is: don't play the game when c>1/2; if c<=1/2, stop playing the game the first time the ticket value exceeds 1-sqrt(2c)

(2)
Still working on this, my first thought is that we should use the same strategy as in (1)...

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回複:回複:IBM 一月 -本來清靜- 給 本來清靜 發送悄悄話 (245 bytes) () 01/07/2009 postreply 13:43:25

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