說到美國春晚，SB冠軍能預測當年股市隻是一個都市傳說

Through 2023, the indicator has been correct 41 out of 57 times, as measured by the S&P 500 Index. This is a success rate of around 72%.3 More recently, however, the indicator has not been as successful. In 2008, despite the New York Giants (NFC) winning the Super Bowl, which supposedly indicated a bull market, the stock market suffered one of the largest downturns since the Great Depression.5 However, down markets failed to materialize in both 2016 and 2017, when the Denver Broncos and New England Patriots, both original AFC teams, won Super Bowls.6 The indicator fell short yet again in 2022 when a victory by the LA Rams of the NFC should have led to market gains, but the S&P 500 ended the year nearly 20% lower. Indeed, from 2004 through 2023, the indicator has only been correct six times out of twenty.

 

S&P 500 Performance Over the Past 20 Super Bowls
Year	Winner	League	Conference	S&P 500 Price Return	Prediction
2024	TBD	TBD	TBD	TBD	TBD
2023	Kansas City Chiefs	AFL	AFC	24.23%	Wrong
2022	Los Angeles Rams	NFL	NFC	-19.44%	Wrong
2021	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	NFL	NFC	14.51%	Right
2020	Kansas City Chiefs	AFL	AFC	15.76%	Wrong
2019	New England Patriots	AFL	AFC	30.43%	Wrong
2018	Philadelphia Eagles	NFL	NFC	−6.24%	Wrong
2017	New England Patriots	AFL	AFC	21.83%	Wrong
2016	Denver Broncos	AFL	AFC	11.96%	Wrong
2015	New England Patriots	AFL	AFC	−0.73%	Right
2014	Seattle Seahawks	Expansion team	NFC	13.69%	Right
2013	Baltimore Ravens	Expansion team	AFC	32.39%	Wrong
2012	New York Giants	NFL	NFC	16.00%	Right
2011	Green Bay Packers	NFL	NFC	−1.12%	Wrong
2010	New Orleans Saints	NFL	NFC	15.06%	Right
2009	Pittsburgh Steelers	NFL	AFC	26.46%	Right
2008	New York Giants	NFL	NFC	−37.00%	Wrong
2007	Indianapolis Colts	NFL	AFC	3.53%	Wrong
2006	Pittsburgh Steelers	NFL	AFC	13.62%	Wrong
2005	New England Patriots	AFL	AFC	3.00%	Wrong
2004	New England Patriots	AFL	AFC	8.99%	Wrong