news: Covid-19 Likely in U.S. in Mid-December 2019

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https://www.wwno.org/post/coronavirus-was-us-weeks-earlier-previously-known-study-says

https://www.npr.org/sections/coronavirus-live-updates/2020/12/01/940395651/coronavirus-was-in-u-s-weeks-earlier-than-previously-known-study-says 

https://www.wsj.com/amp/articles/covid-19-likely-in-u-s-in-mid-december-2019-cdc-scientists-report-11606782449

New analysis of blood donations finds virus was present on West Coast earlier than previously believed

The new coronavirus infected people in the U.S. in mid-December 2019, a few weeks before it was officially identified in China and about a month earlier than public health authorities found the first U.S. case, according to a government study published Monday.

The findings significantly strengthen evidence suggesting the virus was spreading around the world well before public health authorities and researchers became aware, upending initial thinking about how early and quickly it emerged.

Scientists at the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention found evidence of infection in 106 of 7,389 blood donations collected by the American Red Cross from residents in nine states across the U.S., according to the study published online in the journal Clinical Infectious Diseases.

.........

In analyzing the blood samples, the CDC scientists found antibodies in 39 samples from California, Oregon and Washington state collected between December 13 and December 16.

The findings suggest there were isolated cases of coronavirus infection on the U.S. West Coast in mid-December, the scientists wrote.

They also found 67 samples with antibodies in Massachusetts, Michigan, Wisconsin or Iowa, and Connecticut or Rhode Island collected between Dec. 30 and Jan. 17.

Those findings indicated that cases were more dispersed—yet still isolated—by early this year.

 

 

PS

The research article

https://academic.oup.com/cid/advance-article/doi/10.1093/cid/ciaa1785/6012472


Methods

To determine if SARS-CoV-2 reactive antibodies were present in sera prior to the first identified case in the U.S. on January 19, 2020, residual archived samples from 7,389 routine blood donations collected by the American Red Cross from December 13, 2019 to January 17, 2020, from donors resident in nine states (California, Connecticut, Iowa, Massachusetts, Michigan, Oregon, Rhode Island, Washington, and Wisconsin) were tested at CDC for anti-SARS-CoV-2 antibodies. Specimens reactive by pan-immunoglobulin (pan Ig) enzyme linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA) against the full spike protein were tested by IgG and IgM ELISAs, microneutralization test, Ortho total Ig S1 ELISA, and receptor binding domain / Ace2 blocking activity assay.

Results

Of the 7,389 samples, 106 were reactive by pan Ig. Of these 106 specimens, 90 were available for further testing. Eighty four of 90 had neutralizing activity, 1 had S1 binding activity, and 1 had receptor binding domain / Ace2 blocking activity >50%, suggesting the presence of anti-SARS-CoV-2-reactive antibodies. Donations with reactivity occurred in all nine states.

Conclusions

These findings suggest that SARS-CoV-2 may have been introduced into the United States prior to January 19, 2020.

 

所有跟帖: 

今後應該增加對“流感”病例的病毒分析 -dudaan- 給 dudaan 發送悄悄話 dudaan 的博客首頁 (518 bytes) () 12/01/2020 postreply 04:53:15

possible, i was so sick in 12/2019 -hz82000- 給 hz82000 發送悄悄話 hz82000 的博客首頁 (0 bytes) () 12/01/2020 postreply 06:23:16

上麵兩位網友有抗體嗎? -日月茗- 給 日月茗 發送悄悄話 (0 bytes) () 12/01/2020 postreply 08:25:57

我沒去測 -hz82000- 給 hz82000 發送悄悄話 hz82000 的博客首頁 (0 bytes) () 12/01/2020 postreply 08:29:01

你家人那段時間有症狀嗎? -日月茗- 給 日月茗 發送悄悄話 (0 bytes) () 12/01/2020 postreply 08:34:22

有,sick,隻有我用筆記錄下來了,我們都沒去看病 -hz82000- 給 hz82000 發送悄悄話 hz82000 的博客首頁 (0 bytes) () 12/01/2020 postreply 09:05:05

我記得這事,我當時還說要你和家人分餐和分床。你當時症狀和burpeejump醫生的一樣嗎?有啥區別? -lawattaction- 給 lawattaction 發送悄悄話 (0 bytes) () 12/01/2020 postreply 10:09:00

那你們真該去測一下是否有抗體了,對以後要不要打疫苗、何時打疫苗,心裏也有數 -日月茗- 給 日月茗 發送悄悄話 (0 bytes) () 12/01/2020 postreply 11:56:32

夫子說幾個月後抗體就沒了 -dudaan- 給 dudaan 發送悄悄話 dudaan 的博客首頁 (0 bytes) () 12/01/2020 postreply 18:56:47

你講過幾次,我有印象,你們全家應該去測一下抗體 -qiu_yi- 給 qiu_yi 發送悄悄話 (0 bytes) () 12/01/2020 postreply 12:26:31

中國青年報馬上借題發揮成比中國早,其實原文開篇特別指明中國最早病例追遡到12月1日。 -日月茗- 給 日月茗 發送悄悄話 (319 bytes) () 12/01/2020 postreply 08:32:57

有症狀不能證明任何事,我朋友的媽媽,60多歲的,去年夏天在湖北死於肺炎,現在看來也挺可疑的,可是不能算科學根據。 -greennew- 給 greennew 發送悄悄話 (160 bytes) () 12/01/2020 postreply 08:50:30

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