https://zenodo.org/record/6291628#.YhuDSi1OIgp
Understanding the circumstances that lead to pandemics is critical to their prevention. Here, we analyze the pattern and origin of genomic diversity of SARS-CoV-2 early in the COVID-19 pandemic. We show that the SARS-CoV-2 genomic diversity prior to February 2020 comprised only two distinct viral lineages—denoted A and B—with no transitional haplotypes. Novel phylodynamic rooting methods, coupled with epidemic simulations, indicate that these two lineages were the result of at least two separate cross-species transmission events into humans. The first zoonotic transmission likely involved lineage B viruses and occurred in late-November/early-December 2019 and no earlier than the beginning of November 2019, while the introduction of lineage A likely occurred within weeks of the first event. These findings define the narrow window between when SARS-CoV-2 first jumped into humans and when the first cases of COVID-19 were reported. Hence, as with SARS-CoV-1 in 2002 and 2003, SARS-CoV-2 emergence likely resulted from multiple zoonotic events.
https://zenodo.org/record/6299600#.YhuExi1OIgp
Geographical clustering of the earliest known COVID-19 cases and the proximity of positive environmental samples to live-animal vendors suggest that the Huanan Seafood Wholesale Market in Wuhan was the site of origin of the COVID-19 pandemic.
3
Abstract:
Understanding the circumstances that lead to pandemics is critical to their
prevention. Here, we analyze the pattern and origin of genomic diversity of SARS
-
CoV
-
2 early
in the COVID
-
19 pandemic. We show that the SARS
-
CoV
-
2 genomic
diversity prior to
February 2020 comprised only two distinct viral lineages
—
denoted A and B
—
with no
transitional haplotypes. Novel phylodynamic rooting methods, coupled with epidemic
simulations, indicate that these two lineages were the result of at least
two separate cross
-
species transmission events into humans. The first zoonotic transmission likely involved
lineage B viruses and occurred in late
-
November/early
-
December 2019 and no earlier than
the beginning of November 2019, while the introduction of l
ineage A likely occurred within
weeks of the first event. These findings define the narrow window between when SARS
-
CoV
-
2 first jumped into humans and when the first cases of COVID
-
19 were reported. Hence, as
with SARS
-
CoV
-
1 in 2002 and 2003, SARS
-
CoV
-
2 em
ergence likely resulted from multiple
3
Abstract:
Understanding the circumstances that lead to pandemics is critical to their
prevention. Here, we analyze the pattern and origin of genomic diversity of SARS
-
CoV
-
2 early
in the COVID
-
19 pandemic. We show that the SARS
-
CoV
-
2 genomic
diversity prior to
February 2020 comprised only two distinct viral lineages
—
denoted A and B
—
with no
transitional haplotypes. Novel phylodynamic rooting methods, coupled with epidemic
simulations, indicate that these two lineages were the result of at least
two separate cross
-
species transmission events into humans. The first zoonotic transmission likely involved
lineage B viruses and occurred in late
-
November/early
-
December 2019 and no earlier than
the beginning of November 2019, while the introduction of l
ineage A likely occurred within
weeks of the first event. These findings define the narrow window between when SARS
-
CoV
-
2 first jumped into humans and when the first cases of COVID
-
19 were reported. Hence, as
with SARS
-
CoV
-
1 in 2002 and 2003, SARS
-
CoV
-
2 em
ergence likely resulted from multiple