從微信美國大學群裏第一次看到這個發言的記錄是一月七號。自己感覺似乎過分樂觀，於是轉發給家裏的ID醫生詢問是否可靠，回複如下 （因為前幾天不確定發言是否真實，所以現在才分享）：
I'm not an epidemiologist so not in the business of predicting when the surge will peak. But I think its important to keep in mind that these predictions that the surge will peak in a week are predictions based on experiences in other countries like South Africa. And the United States is not South Africa, there are many other variables.
Some of the hospitalizations are people coming in for other reasons who also happen to have COVID with mild symptoms or no symptoms. However, there are still plenty of people coming to the hospital because of COVID and it is still massively straining the hospital in terms of beds and staff. And if the surge isn't going to peak for another week, at the rate of increases in cases, hospitals will not be able to keep up.
I think its irresponsible to say that COVID will become like the other coronaviruses. It may mutate to cause less symptoms and be less serious, but there's just as much possibility for it to mutate to become more serious.
I hope his optimism becomes reality and we can return to some kind of new normal. But I think its far too premature to make such statements, and honestly, irresponsible. Because if the pandemic doesn't slow down, people may take what he says and drop their precautions like masks and avoiding large gatherings and cause more outbreaks.
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