Your info about Index appreciation is wrong

來源: Nerazzurri 2023-10-31 12:04:30 [] [舊帖] [給我悄悄話] 本文已被閱讀: 次 (4210 bytes)
本文內容已被 [ Nerazzurri ] 在 2023-10-31 12:42:16 編輯過。如有問題,請報告版主或論壇管理刪除.

Rental properties have many advantages, such as:

  • Inflation-proof asset, slow but steady positive appreciation;
  • Eligible for 1031 exchange, deferred capital gain payment;
  • Refinance opportunities to minimize interest-related risks;
  • Mortgage interest eligible for tax deduction;
  • Property appreciation can be utilized for HELOC to take advantage of potential great investment opportunities;
  • Rental payment is superior to covered call premiums without assets being called away;
  • Gift rental properties to next generation without paying capital gain tax until sale of the properties, providing immediate cash flow for the children;
  • And much more;

BTW, you present index appreciation incorrectly; Here is my calculation for various index CAGR (compound annual growth rate)

  • DJI since 1970, CAGR is 7.12% as of today;
  • SPX since 1970, CAGR is 7.31% as of today;
  • IXIC since inception on 6/1/1973, CAGR is 10.03% as of today;
  • NDX (Nasdaq-100) since inception on 1/31/1985, CAGR is 12.99% as of today;
  • SPY (SP500) since inception on 1/29/1993, CAGR is 7.58% as of today;
  • QQQ (Nasdaq-100) since inception on 3/10/1999, CAGR is 8.08% as of today;

Based on my calculation, your info about 標普500指數過去50年的平均年化收益率是11%。而自1986年成立以來,納斯達克100指數的平均年化收益率是17% is terribly wrong. If the baseline is correct, investment on rental property (10% CAGR) beats SP500 (aroung 7.5%) soundly;

所有跟帖: 

你是不是把通脹因素給扣除了?標普500指數7.3%的收益率,不符合史實。 -矽穀居士- 給 矽穀居士 發送悄悄話 矽穀居士 的博客首頁 (0 bytes) () 10/31/2023 postreply 12:10:36

曆史事實就是SP500公認的收益率是7%;這也是4%rule的理論基礎。 -Nerazzurri- 給 Nerazzurri 發送悄悄話 (365 bytes) () 10/31/2023 postreply 12:28:17

4%後麵對應的是Balanced Portfolio, 大致一半是股票基金,一半是債券基金,綜合回報率7%。 -矽穀居士- 給 矽穀居士 發送悄悄話 矽穀居士 的博客首頁 (0 bytes) () 10/31/2023 postreply 13:30:59

https://dqydj.com/sp-500-return-calculator/ -矽穀居士- 給 矽穀居士 發送悄悄話 矽穀居士 的博客首頁 (0 bytes) () 10/31/2023 postreply 12:11:57

你需要考率Reinvest分紅 -矽穀居士- 給 矽穀居士 發送悄悄話 矽穀居士 的博客首頁 (0 bytes) () 10/31/2023 postreply 12:13:00

All things considered, divedend re-investment -Nerazzurri- 給 Nerazzurri 發送悄悄話 (246 bytes) () 10/31/2023 postreply 12:29:39

我不清楚你哪裏搞錯了。你可以用上麵的權威網站算一下。 -矽穀居士- 給 矽穀居士 發送悄悄話 矽穀居士 的博客首頁 (0 bytes) () 10/31/2023 postreply 12:33:00

那個網站我很久之前就用了。when compare things, -Nerazzurri- 給 Nerazzurri 發送悄悄話 (138 bytes) () 10/31/2023 postreply 12:39:24

所有對股票基金的權威分析都是包括Dividend Reinvestment的。你可以另辟蹊徑,如果你能說服別人的話。 -矽穀居士- 給 矽穀居士 發送悄悄話 矽穀居士 的博客首頁 (0 bytes) () 10/31/2023 postreply 13:28:22

而且你要考慮到rental property is inflation-proof asset -Nerazzurri- 給 Nerazzurri 發送悄悄話 (247 bytes) () 10/31/2023 postreply 12:36:48

股票後麵對應的是公司,也抗通脹的。 -矽穀居士- 給 矽穀居士 發送悄悄話 矽穀居士 的博客首頁 (0 bytes) () 10/31/2023 postreply 13:17:00

你可以給一個權威的投資房的年化回報率嗎?反駁別人,需要拿數據說話。 -矽穀居士- 給 矽穀居士 發送悄悄話 矽穀居士 的博客首頁 (0 bytes) () 10/31/2023 postreply 13:21:00

我不再繼續和你討論了。我覺得你沒有搞清楚基本的事實,這樣的討論是毫無意義的。 -矽穀居士- 給 矽穀居士 發送悄悄話 矽穀居士 的博客首頁 (81 bytes) () 10/31/2023 postreply 13:32:44

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