今天Google怎麽了?我今天的Portfolio 調整

本帖於 2025-10-21 15:35:54 時間, 由普通用戶 曉炎 編輯

我這一段時間在重點加倉兩隻股:GOOG & AMZN.

GOOG是年初賣飛了,後來重新分析理清思路,決定買回,幾次加倉後均價$240。

AMZN比較幸運,前幾天跌得滿地找牙時,我趁火打劫進了很多,均價$213. 

但是因為AMZN買得太多了,所以持倉超過了我對這隻股portfolio allocation %的分配, 所以今天早上在$222賣出了一批。將更多資金轉入GOOG@246. 我寫這一篇,是想說一個我投資時長持的心理安定法—— (1)買入價很重要,(2)portfolio allocation很重要,(3)當然,最重要的是買入一個自己有conviction的好公司,(4)不要鋪得太開,我手上除了幾隻ETFs, 個股不超過10個,這樣便於管理。

再補充一點:假如AMZN跌到$200 - 180 -160, 我會繼續買入。

下麵轉貼一篇剛剛讀到的關於Google今天“小跌”的文章——

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Why Alphabet (GOOGL) Stock Is Trading Lower Today? 

What Happened?

Shares of online advertising giant Alphabet (NASDAQ:GOOGL) fell 3.2% in the afternoon session after privately held competitor OpenAI announced a new online search browser (ChatGPT Atlas). This new product, integrating advanced AI directly into the browsing and search experience, represents a direct, major competitive threat to Google's most profitable assets: the Chrome browser and the Search advertising engine. This news likely prompted some investors to take profits in GOOGL, which was near an all-time high, as the market re-priced the risk associated with this intensified AI "war" for internet dominance.

The stock market overreacts to news, and big price drops can present good opportunities to buy high-quality stocks. Is now the time to buy Alphabet? Access our full analysis report here.

What Is The Market Telling Us
Alphabet’s shares are not very volatile and have only had 6 moves greater than 5% over the last year. In that context, today’s move indicates the market considers this news meaningful, although it might not be something that would fundamentally change its perception of the business.

The previous big move we wrote about was 8 days ago when the stock gained 2.8% as investors' concerns about US-China trade tensions were eased by President Trump's more conciliatory tone over the weekend. Following a sharp market drop the previous trading day driven by trade conflict escalation, Wall Street's main indexes opened significantly higher. The Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P 500, and Nasdaq all saw gains of over 1%. The rebound was attributed to comments made by the President on social media, where he stated the "China situation will all be fine" and that the U.S. "wants to help China, not hurt it!!!" This shift in rhetoric prompted a return to risk assets, as traders brushed aside the previous week's fears. The rally ahead of the upcoming earnings season suggests that the "buy-the-dip" mentality remains strong among investors whenever trade jitters subside.

Alphabet is up 32.6% since the beginning of the year, and at $251.16 per share, it is trading close to its 52-week high of $256.55 from October 2025. Investors who bought $1,000 worth of Alphabet’s shares 5 years ago would now be looking at an investment worth $3,167.

所有跟帖: 

投資邏輯清晰,持倉策略穩健,隻可惜兩個我都沒有,要不然也可以參與一下討論了 -穆丹之鄉- 給 穆丹之鄉 發送悄悄話 (0 bytes) () 10/21/2025 postreply 15:52:37

哈!今天早上在007的貼裏玩的時候,我做了上麵的調整,我都不記得哪年哪月我用過market order了 -曉炎- 給 曉炎 發送悄悄話 曉炎 的博客首頁 (424 bytes) () 10/21/2025 postreply 15:58:10

看來我膽子比你大,90%情況下都是頭腦一熱就市場價買入,性格使然啊!好在現在買入的都是比較抗打的公司,買高了也不怕,哈哈 -穆丹之鄉- 給 穆丹之鄉 發送悄悄話 (0 bytes) () 10/21/2025 postreply 16:14:33

膽子我肯定不比你小的。但在投資上我是一個守紀律的人LOL 穆丹,我建議你在個股裏 -曉炎- 給 曉炎 發送悄悄話 曉炎 的博客首頁 (165 bytes) () 10/21/2025 postreply 16:18:37

好吧,第一條無條件接受;第二條認真對待,怎麽說呢,我其實現在已經改了好多了,以前都是圍著垃圾股轉的,結果嗎,可想而知 -穆丹之鄉- 給 穆丹之鄉 發送悄悄話 (0 bytes) () 10/21/2025 postreply 16:26:58

不過有一說一,以前的經曆就算交學費了,學到了哪些股票不能碰,需要要避免的,這算是壞事變好事吧 -穆丹之鄉- 給 穆丹之鄉 發送悄悄話 (0 bytes) () 10/21/2025 postreply 16:29:15

我想如果有人告訴你他投資從來沒有虧過,你可以一笑而過。我也有過 -曉炎- 給 曉炎 發送悄悄話 曉炎 的博客首頁 (662 bytes) () 10/21/2025 postreply 16:33:50

你這還好啦,我的幾乎都是打幾次骨折的,所以現在學乖了,沒有了一夜暴富的想法,用真金白銀領悟到那句話:選擇比努力更重要 -穆丹之鄉- 給 穆丹之鄉 發送悄悄話 (0 bytes) () 10/21/2025 postreply 16:42:29

股市如此,人生又何嚐不是呢,哈哈 -穆丹之鄉- 給 穆丹之鄉 發送悄悄話 (167 bytes) () 10/21/2025 postreply 16:44:19

lol so true, I told my son that choosing a right marriage -曉炎- 給 曉炎 發送悄悄話 曉炎 的博客首頁 (334 bytes) () 10/21/2025 postreply 16:48:32

讚活的通透而且智慧的美女辣媽! -穆丹之鄉- 給 穆丹之鄉 發送悄悄話 (0 bytes) () 10/21/2025 postreply 17:02:06

lol笑暈。朋友,朋友的朋友,這麽些年一起走過,看多了經曆過的,就悟出了 -曉炎- 給 曉炎 發送悄悄話 曉炎 的博客首頁 (173 bytes) () 10/21/2025 postreply 17:07:08

嗯是滴,我們都應該珍惜現在所擁有的 -穆丹之鄉- 給 穆丹之鄉 發送悄悄話 (0 bytes) () 10/21/2025 postreply 17:22:50

是, 我家那位 -bogbog- 給 bogbog 發送悄悄話 bogbog 的博客首頁 (551 bytes) () 10/21/2025 postreply 20:48:05

讚“選擇比努力重要”!選擇偏了,越努力虧得越多。 -我是一隻井底蛙- 給 我是一隻井底蛙 發送悄悄話 (0 bytes) () 10/21/2025 postreply 16:53:26

哈哈,蛙兄不僅智慧而且幽默LOL -曉炎- 給 曉炎 發送悄悄話 曉炎 的博客首頁 (224 bytes) () 10/21/2025 postreply 16:55:56

蛙兄很謹慎智慧,不做期權不用margin, -bogbog- 給 bogbog 發送悄悄話 bogbog 的博客首頁 (133 bytes) () 10/21/2025 postreply 17:04:19

總結的精辟! -穆丹之鄉- 給 穆丹之鄉 發送悄悄話 (0 bytes) () 10/21/2025 postreply 17:10:43

我也從來沒有做過期權和margin. 說了或許你不信,我大本實習時還考了 -曉炎- 給 曉炎 發送悄悄話 曉炎 的博客首頁 (167 bytes) () 10/21/2025 postreply 17:10:49

我就年初學期權的時候買了四個股票的leaps, beginner's luck, -bogbog- 給 bogbog 發送悄悄話 bogbog 的博客首頁 (188 bytes) () 10/21/2025 postreply 17:17:00

聰明而又擅於思考的bog! -曉炎- 給 曉炎 發送悄悄話 曉炎 的博客首頁 (167 bytes) () 10/21/2025 postreply 17:21:10

其實我是摔得起的,我有兜底的。 開個玩笑,哈哈哈。 但就是覺得做事情要講長久之計, 不能隻看眼前。 -bogbog- 給 bogbog 發送悄悄話 bogbog 的博客首頁 (0 bytes) () 10/21/2025 postreply 17:39:58

LOL 其實對我來說是年輕時啥也沒有時最摔得起,一把時光在前麵,又沒有什麽 -曉炎- 給 曉炎 發送悄悄話 曉炎 的博客首頁 (319 bytes) () 10/21/2025 postreply 18:19:47

同悟握手,是的,如果選對了賽道或方向,即使慢點,也會最終到達目的地的;反之,就會離目標越來越遠 -穆丹之鄉- 給 穆丹之鄉 發送悄悄話 (0 bytes) () 10/21/2025 postreply 17:08:35

我完全同意你的觀點,我們做任何事情都是一樣的。隻要選擇了正確的方向或賽道,即使再慢我們也終會到達終點。 -雪塵- 給 雪塵 發送悄悄話 (0 bytes) () 10/21/2025 postreply 22:57:01

GOOG 比AMZN 更有活力! -Tianyazi- 給 Tianyazi 發送悄悄話 Tianyazi 的博客首頁 (0 bytes) () 10/21/2025 postreply 17:15:03

明年就會倒過來 -Pilot007- 給 Pilot007 發送悄悄話 (0 bytes) () 10/21/2025 postreply 17:16:05

請說說你的分析呢? -曉炎- 給 曉炎 發送悄悄話 曉炎 的博客首頁 (0 bytes) () 10/21/2025 postreply 17:22:42

田醫生好!我對這幾個competing peers 的排序是: -曉炎- 給 曉炎 發送悄悄話 曉炎 的博客首頁 (236 bytes) () 10/21/2025 postreply 17:19:55

MTA GOOG 應該比AMZN 好,關稅對AMZN 打擊很大的。以前在AMZN 賣過舊書和鏡頭 -Tianyazi- 給 Tianyazi 發送悄悄話 Tianyazi 的博客首頁 (42 bytes) () 10/21/2025 postreply 17:33:13

10% on revenue? 那AMZN把用它網站做business 的小企業當作自己的franchisee了lol, -曉炎- 給 曉炎 發送悄悄話 曉炎 的博客首頁 (477 bytes) () 10/21/2025 postreply 17:44:00

10% of sale price -Tianyazi- 給 Tianyazi 發送悄悄話 Tianyazi 的博客首頁 (0 bytes) () 10/21/2025 postreply 18:20:53

so it's based on the revenue! Hefty! 田醫生,不知你看到我留言裏麵的那段話沒?我對 -曉炎- 給 曉炎 發送悄悄話 曉炎 的博客首頁 (114 bytes) () 10/21/2025 postreply 18:28:25

not 10% of the profit, but the sale price -Tianyazi- 給 Tianyazi 發送悄悄話 Tianyazi 的博客首頁 (250 bytes) () 10/21/2025 postreply 19:05:07

Yes, sales price = revenue, profit = revenue- operation cost -曉炎- 給 曉炎 發送悄悄話 曉炎 的博客首頁 (173 bytes) () 10/21/2025 postreply 19:15:54

Also bought a little GOOG around 246 today. -jliu6667- 給 jliu6667 發送悄悄話 (480 bytes) () 10/21/2025 postreply 17:34:17

High five, my friend! Thanks for sharing the after market -曉炎- 給 曉炎 發送悄悄話 曉炎 的博客首頁 (251 bytes) () 10/21/2025 postreply 17:49:17

Google沒有問題,這些優質股跌了就是機會,特別是大跌的時候 -bogbog- 給 bogbog 發送悄悄話 bogbog 的博客首頁 (0 bytes) () 10/21/2025 postreply 18:07:40

上次在我的一個貼裏和jiliu6667壇友聊google, 我倆都是GOOG的大扇子,她或許比我的持股還多,因為她說她 -曉炎- 給 曉炎 發送悄悄話 曉炎 的博客首頁 (271 bytes) () 10/21/2025 postreply 18:11:01

我也看到amazon,自己每年花好多錢的地方 -hvhp- 給 hvhp 發送悄悄話 (0 bytes) () 10/21/2025 postreply 18:55:36

不僅買家在他家花錢多,賣家也是。他們的A9 algorithm, 賣家們要爭先恐後的付廣告費把銷量提上去, -bogbog- 給 bogbog 發送悄悄話 bogbog 的博客首頁 (216 bytes) () 10/21/2025 postreply 18:58:46

確實疫情期間改變了我們很多人的shopping habits,期待在AI這一戰裏 -曉炎- 給 曉炎 發送悄悄話 曉炎 的博客首頁 (30 bytes) () 10/21/2025 postreply 19:00:21

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