(摘自上周的Barrons) ……President had ordered federal departments to speed up construction projects, and the state governments to expand public works projects. He went to Congress asking for a huge tax cut and a doubling of spending on public buildings, dams, highways and harbors. ….He predicted the crisis would end in 60 days. He received widespread praise for his intervention……
聽起來熟悉嗎??
可惜文中的總統不是Obama, 而是Hoover;故事不是2009, 而是1930年初。
不需要更嚴重的衰退( which is indeed widely predicted by many conservative encomiasts ),隻有一個同樣規模的蕭條,情況會怎樣呢?
- 還有2千五百萬人會在今年的2年裏失去工作。(7% vs。 25%)
- 平均財富還要縮水80% (Dow 從250點(1/1/1930)到 41 點(7/5/1932))
曆史會不會重演呢??