if Beijing/Shanghai were in Mexico

來源: noconfusion 2016-11-24 20:47:08 [] [博客] [舊帖] [給我悄悄話] 本文已被閱讀: 次 (1309 bytes)

I initially titled it 'if .... were in the US', but then find it more appropriate to use Mexico.

in terms of population density, jobs/income levels, education/healthcare/public services, Mexico City is probably the North America city most comparable to a major city in China.

https://www.numbeo.com/property-investment/compare_cities.jsp?country1=China&country2=Mexico&city1=Shanghai&city2=Mexico+City&tracking=getDispatchComparison

you can see that's how much properties are over valued with the current exchange rates.

someday the valuations will have to converge.... either house prices in beijing/shanghai will have to drop by 80%... or if the price doesn't drop in RMB terms, then the currency will have to devalue by 80%, which means $1 = 35RMB.

won't see that overnight, but market forces eventually win... always.

所有跟帖: 

墨西哥黑幫比較厲害,北京上海治安要好多了 -刁小山- 給 刁小山 發送悄悄話 (65 bytes) () 11/25/2016 postreply 04:37:33

you will be fine as long as -noconfusion- 給 noconfusion 發送悄悄話 noconfusion 的博客首頁 (309 bytes) () 11/25/2016 postreply 06:48:18

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