博文
(2011-08-05 14:41:57)

今天大盤收盤是個十字星,典型的市場不確定性的標誌。眾所周知,十字星在頂部出現是明顯的到頂信號,但在底部出現的時候需要一個上漲行情日來支持反轉。S&P1175是一個支撐,如果不能守住,下一站就是1020。
1020剛好是低點683(09Mar)和高點1363(11Jul)的中間值,這裏應該會有一個很強的支撐,畢竟現在的美國金融係統穩固的多,重演08年的市場,可能性不大。1175的支[閱讀全文]
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今天計算了一下股票賬戶的收益,2010年底vs2009年底的Stock。
-漲了62%
-增長淨值頭一次達到了年工資的88%
原因分析:09年底時持有3隻股票,10年的頭3個季度還是同樣的3隻股票。
鞋類股(Growth,Turn-around)
住房建材股(Value)
計算機硬件(Growth)
都是SmallCap。不錯的回報應該說還是歸功於花時間研究年報,季報,新聞,評論等。
譬如研究鞋類股的話可以MonitorAm[閱讀全文]
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lowerendhouse(priceunder300,000)hasseenpricefallby52.5%sincethemarketpeakin2006,returningtoApr2003level,accordingtoCase-Shillerindexes.
highendhoue(topthirdofthemarket,priceabove510,000)havefallenby27.3%fromthepeak,toMar2004level.
lowerendmarketgained5%overthelastQof2009.higherendmarketdropped0.5%.
結合曆史數據LA的高端房價也接近底開始要上揚了(緩慢地。。。)。
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(2010-03-31 21:27:25)
thestockisdownafterearningrelease:
-fiercecompetition(Apple/Android)
-highexpection,badrecord(6monthsagoearningreleasedown17%inaday)
-highgrowthinpast5yearsmeansthepriceisalreadypricedin
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FUQIhasreportedearningrecentlybuttheyhavesomeaccountingissue,thestocknosedived,down37%!whatanearningplay.thesalesgrownth/earninggrowthalllooksgreat,but...
FYI-FUQIisachinajewelryproducer.
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thisquarteris3%to4%
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(2010-03-26 18:58:17)
in2009Techspendingdropped9%comparedwithadeclineinnominalgrossdomesticproductofaround1%.Techissettorisearound8%in2010,saidForrestorResearch.
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(2010-03-17 00:44:01)
Nikewillreportearningtomorrowafterclose.
estimate:4.6B
Quitechallenge,shortNKE?Iwillnotdoitwithrealmoneyonthispredictionthough.
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computerprogramsscrutinizethepricingofhterelatedsecurities.forexample,sharesofExxonMobilandChevron,historicallytendtotradeinsimilardirections,sincetheirfateshingeonoilproductionandprices.ifExxon'sstockstartstorise,butChevron'sdoesn't,MedallionmightpurchaseChevronandsellExxonshort,hopingtobenefitasthetwostocksmovebackintoalignment.
returnis45%peryearfrom1988tonow.
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(2010-03-15 23:22:14)
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