世紀之戰59

世紀之戰59

 

弧度度

 

以色列是中東的定海神針

 

不知道為什麽，總有一些“短視者”堅持認為：“美國應重回孤立主義，絕不能把自己捆綁在以色列的戰車上。”持這種觀點的人究竟有多不負責任，或者說與時代脫節到了何等程度，不妨分析探討之。

 

首先，必須明確的是，麵對中、俄咄咄逼人的霸淩態勢，21世紀的美國再也無法重回孤立主義，隻能聯合盟友展開堅定反擊。

 

中共的病毒、核彈、藍金黃等毀滅性武器早已入侵或涵蓋美國本土，中共早已在美國後院建立起了集偵測監控、製毒販毒、導彈發射——三位一體的“包圍圈”，隨時可以對美國本土發動致命襲擊，甚至於聯合華盛頓沼澤的大鱷們顛覆民選政權。有鑒於此，美利堅所能采取的上策應該是：聯合盟友建立起多層次立體防禦網，把美利堅的終極宿敵中共牢牢地鎖死在第一島鏈之內。下策是如“短視者”所願，美國重回孤立主義，眼睜睜地看著昔日盟友被中共逐個分化後各個擊破，最後再握緊拳頭對美利堅施展致命一擊。

 

世界格局牽一發而動全身，誰也無法置身事外。倘若任由俄羅斯吞並烏克蘭，俄軍核潛艇就可以越過地中海，進入大西洋，直接威脅美國本土；倘若任由中共拿下台灣，中共的核潛艇就可以神不知鬼不覺地潛入太平洋，隨時可以像火燒夏威夷那樣摧毀美國任意一座城市；如果任由伊朗發展核武，那麽伊朗就可以控製霍爾木茲海峽，切斷世界能源動脈，威懾整個中東的石油輸出，以至於核訛詐美西方。一旦中、俄、朝、伊這四股“邪惡軸心”力量形成合流，美國再想反擊恐怕為時已晚了。

 

誰最希望美國進行戰略收縮，乃至重回孤立主義？答案是中、俄、朝、伊。一旦美國換了個短視或綏靖的總統上台，它們就會像魔鬼鑽出潘多拉魔盒，禍害美國霸淩全世界。一旦美國重回孤立主義，不但東南亞諸國會集體倒向中共，南韓被北朝鮮吞並，甚至連印度、日本、澳大利亞等印太強國也會在中、俄的威逼利誘下徹底淪陷或被迫屈服。至於歐洲，英、法、德、意諸強早已淪為受中共隨意操控的牽線木偶，討好中共、背刺美國已經變成了新常態。到那時，淪為孤家寡人的將不再是中共，而是回歸孤立主義的美利堅。

 

其次，必須強調的是，以色列是美國的頭號盟友，雙方的關係建立在互利共贏之上，不存在哪一方依附另一方，也並非哪一方在單方麵付出。

 

縱觀當今世界，真正還願意追隨美國——並且在關鍵時刻還能發揮關鍵作用的已經隻剩下以色列和日本了。

 

若問21世紀的今天，令筆者仰慕的國家有哪些？答案是美利堅、日本、以色列（德意誌民族已經墮落為中共的附庸，故不在此列）。一個是幫助全世界建立起文明秩序的國家，一個是在戰敗廢墟上建立起高度文明發達的國家，一個是在沙漠廢墟上建立起高度文明發達的國家，怎不令人發自內心地欽敬呢？隻恨此生沒有生在這三個國家啊！

 

二戰後，日本受到《和平憲法》的限製，無法發展攻擊型航母、洲際彈道導彈（ICBM）、戰略轟炸機等戰略進攻性武器，無法行使“集體自衛權”（即當盟友受到攻擊時出兵相助）。盡管2014年內閣決議通過解禁部分集體自衛權，但在實際運用時卻仍受到憲法的嚴格約束。

 

也就是說，在歐洲傳統盟友對中共保持集體綏靖的大背景下，美國所能真正依賴的最強盟友已隻剩下以色列了。如果美國重回孤立主義，拋棄以色列，那麽伊朗就會在中、俄的支持下威懾整個中東（此悲劇是不是與美國綏靖派當年拋棄蔣介石政權進而失去中國相類似？）。一旦中共獲得了源源不斷的原油供應，就會毫不猶豫地攻占台灣，然後笑納東南亞，威逼印太諸強成立“反美同盟”。

 

那些“短視者”是否想過，這些年如果不是以色列頂著國際壓力轟炸伊朗的核反應堆、斬首伊朗革命衛隊的頭目及核專家，伊朗早已混成了實質上的“擁核強國”。到那時，製定國際油價、控製能源通道的就不再是美國，而是中、俄。

 

以色列為了捍衛國家安全不得不轟炸伊朗，美國為了捍衛原油價格不得不封鎖伊朗，這難道不是各取所需——為了共同利益而戰嗎？怎麽就變成了“以色列把美國拖入中東戰爭泥潭”呢？以色列的情報係統與空、陸軍的戰鬥力，哪一項不是領先世界呢？如果不是需要美國海軍封鎖海峽威懾中、俄，以色列完全可以單幹，僅憑一己之力就能幹翻伊朗神棍政權。

 

綜上所述我們不難發現，所謂的“重回孤立主義”，其實是一種典型的“鴕鳥心態”，釋放的負麵效應不亞於綏靖主義。在中共的步步緊逼與全方位出擊下，美利堅已經到了最危險的時候，世界已經到了最危險的時候，此時再失去最強盟友以色列的支持會產生什麽後果？腦子是個好東西，不要一發熱就弄丟了。

 

最新消息：川普在電話裏通知沙特、阿聯酋、巴林、科威特、卡塔爾等國，隻要美國和伊朗談妥，你們就得全部跟以色列建交。這就是川普的交易藝術，直接把中東的利益鏈條焊死。

 

這幫中東王室以前最擅長兩頭吃：一邊在國民麵前拿著對抗以色列的口號當政治防空洞；一邊又在私底下指望美國提供保護傘來對付伊朗。川普這次扯掉了這塊遮羞布，誰也別想再兩頭占便宜。想要美國的安全承諾？可以，請拿出與以色列的邦交正常化來換。

 

（未完待續）

 

The War of the Century 59

 

Hu Dudu 

 

Israel is the Stabilizing Force of the Middle East

 

For some reason, there are always some "shortsighted" individuals who insist: "The United States should return to isolationism and must not tie itself to Israel's war machine." How irresponsible are those who hold this view, or how out of touch with the times are they? Let's analyze and discuss this.

 

First, it must be clear that faced with the aggressive bullying posture of China and Russia, the United States in the 21st century can no longer return to isolationism; it can only unite with its allies to launch a resolute counterattack.

 

The CCP's viruses, nuclear weapons, and blue-gold (traitorous) weapons of mass destruction have already invaded or covered the US mainland. The CCP has already established a three-pronged "encirclement" in America's backyard, encompassing surveillance, drug production and trafficking, and missile launches—capable of launching a deadly attack on the US mainland at any time, or even uniting with the bigwigs of the Washington swamp to overthrow the democratically elected government. In view of this, the best strategy for the United States should be to unite with its allies to establish a multi-layered, three-dimensional defense network, firmly locking America's ultimate enemy, the CCP, within the first island chain. The worst course of action is for the "shortsighted" to wish for a return to isolationism, watching helplessly as former allies are divided and defeated one by one by the CCP, before finally unleashing a fatal blow against America.

 

The global landscape is interconnected; no one can remain unaffected. If Russia is allowed to annex Ukraine, Russian nuclear submarines could cross the Mediterranean and enter the Atlantic, directly threatening the US mainland. If the CCP is allowed to take Taiwan, its nuclear submarines could stealthily infiltrate the Pacific, ready to destroy any US city at any time, just as Hawaii was destroyed. If Iran is allowed to develop nuclear weapons, it could control the Strait of Hormuz, cutting off the world's energy lifeline, threatening oil exports from the entire Middle East, and even blackmailing the US and the West with nuclear weapons. Once the four "axis of evil" forces of China, Russia, North Korea, and Iran converge, it will likely be too late for the US to retaliate.

 

Who most wants the US to undergo strategic retrenchment, or even return to isolationism? The answer is China, Russia, North Korea, and Iran. Once a short-sighted or appeasement-minded president comes to power in the United States, these countries will be like demons unleashed from Pandora's box, wreaking havoc on the US and bullying the world. If the US returns to isolationism, not only will Southeast Asian countries collectively side with the CCP, and South Korea be annexed by North Korea, but even Indo-Pacific powers like India, Japan, and Australia will be completely subjugated or forced to submit under the coercion and enticement of China and Russia. As for Europe, Britain, France, Germany, and Italy have long been puppets manipulated by the CCP, and appeasing the CCP while betraying the US has become the new normal. At that time, it will not be the CCP that will be left isolated, but the United States, returning to isolationism.

 

 

Secondly, it must be emphasized that Israel is the United States' number one ally. Their relationship is built on mutual benefit and win-win cooperation; neither side is dependent on the other, nor is it a one-sided sacrifice.

 

Looking at the world today, only Israel and Japan remain truly willing to follow the United States—and can play a crucial role in critical moments.

 

If asked which countries I admire in the 21st century, the answer is the United States, Japan, and Israel (Germany is excluded as it has degenerated into a vassal state of the CCP). One is a nation that helped establish a civilized order worldwide; another is a nation that built a highly civilized and advanced society from the ruins of defeat; and yet another is a nation that built a highly civilized and advanced society from the ruins of the desert. How can one not feel heartfelt admiration? I only regret not being born in one of these three countries!

 

After World War II, Japan was restricted by its Peace Constitution, unable to develop offensive weapons such as attack aircraft carriers, intercontinental ballistic missiles (ICBMs), and strategic bombers, and unable to exercise its "collective self-defense right" (i.e., sending troops to help allies when attacked). Although the 2014 cabinet resolution lifted restrictions on some aspects of collective self-defense, its actual application remains strictly bound by the constitution.

 

In other words, against the backdrop of traditional European allies maintaining collective appeasement towards the CCP, the strongest ally the US can truly rely on is Israel. If the US returns to isolationism and abandons Israel, then Iran, with the support of China and Russia, will threaten the entire Middle East (is this tragedy similar to the US appeasement faction's abandonment of the Chiang Kai-shek regime and subsequent loss of China?). Once the CCP obtains a continuous supply of oil, it will not hesitate to seize Taiwan, then readily accept Southeast Asia, and coerce the Indo-Pacific powers into forming an "anti-US alliance."

 

Have those "shortsighted" individuals considered that if Israel hadn't defied international pressure to bomb Iran's nuclear reactors and assassinate the head of the Iranian Revolutionary Guard and nuclear experts, Iran would have long since become a de facto "nuclear power." At that point, it wouldn't be the US setting international oil prices and controlling energy routes, but China and Russia.

 

 

Israel had to bomb Iran to defend its national security, and the US had to blockade Iran to protect oil prices. Isn't this a mutually beneficial conflict—a war fought for common interests? How did it become "Israel dragging the US into a Middle East quagmire"? Israel's intelligence system and the combat capabilities of its air and ground forces are all world-leading. If it weren't for the need for the US Navy to blockade the Straits to deter China and Russia, Israel could have acted alone and single-handedly overthrown the Iranian regime.

 

In conclusion, it's clear that the so-called "return to isolationism" is a typical "ostrich mentality," with negative effects no less than appeasement. Under the CCP's relentless pressure and all-out attack, the US is at its most dangerous moment, and the world is at its most dangerous moment. What would be the consequences of losing the support of its strongest ally, Israel, at this juncture? A good head is a good thing; don't lose it in a moment of passion.

 

Latest news: Trump informed Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Bahrain, Kuwait, Qatar, and other countries in a phone call that if the US and Iran reach an agreement, they must all establish diplomatic relations with Israel. This is Trump's art of the deal, effectively sealing off the chain of interests in the Middle East.

 

These Middle Eastern royal families used to be masters of playing both sides: on one hand, they used the slogan of confronting Israel as a political refuge in front of their citizens; on the other hand, they secretly relied on the US for protection against Iran. Trump has torn off this fig leaf this time, and no one can expect to benefit from both sides anymore. Want a security commitment from the US? Fine, then normalize diplomatic relations with Israel in exchange.

 

(To be continued)