世紀之戰60

世紀之戰60

 

弧度度

 

打擊伊朗切忌半途而廢

 

據弗林將軍在寫給川普的公開信中透露：川普總統正計劃向伊朗支付250億美元的“和解資金”，以期實現“伊朗無核化”的崇高目標。

 

如果這個消息是真的，那簡直是令人哭笑不得。戰神川普曾一再高調抨擊奧巴馬的綏靖政策——給伊朗神棍政權送錢求和解，現在卻又親自指揮親自部署給伊朗神棍政權送錢求和解，請問這究竟唱的是哪一出？

 

“交易”雖然是一門藝術，但是它更應該遵循一定的原則。完全失去原則的交易，無異於變節投降或背叛初心。如果你的談判對手是價值觀相同的日本、以色列等戰略夥伴，雙方尚有各自讓步彼此妥協的可能；但是如果你的對手是一群土匪流氓、邪教神棍時，綏靖換來的不是和平，而是羞辱。

 

曆史已經證明並將繼續證明：一個雙手沾滿人民鮮血的獨裁政權，不可能作出任何實質性妥協與讓步。

 

中共欺世百年，非但沒有作出任何積極的改變，反而變本加厲地把魔爪伸向了全世界——由禍害本國人民轉向禍害全世界。同理，伊朗神棍政權在獲得奧巴馬的大額捐獻資金後，非但沒有將其用於改善民生，反而加快了研發核武的步伐。

 

縱觀曆史上的獨裁政權，沒有一家是通過“和談”來促使其作出“向善”改變的。對於那些上演“全武行”的世紀狂人來說，獨裁就是一條不歸路，隻可能一條道走到黑，要麽被本國人民推翻（如齊奧塞斯庫夫婦），要麽在內外的合力下走向崩潰（如前蘇聯），要麽在美國的軍事幹涉下被送上絞刑架（如薩達姆）……

 

不到最後一刻，邪惡極權絕對不會停止對內鎮壓；不到最後一刻，邪惡極權絕對不會停止對外擴張；不到最後一刻，邪惡極權絕對不會停止坑蒙拐騙；不到最後一刻，邪惡極權絕對不會作出妥協（最多作出虛與委蛇的以拖待變，一旦時機成熟就會發動致命偷襲）。

 

如果偉大的戰神川普僅僅是像綏靖懦弱的奧巴馬那樣沽名釣譽——被一紙“諾貝爾和平獎”證書完美搞定，那就實在是太令人失望了。

 

對付邪惡極權，要麽一開始就不要去招惹它，然而一旦決定要動它就不要半途而廢——“宜將剩勇追窮寇，豈可沽名學霸王？”

 

就當前的局勢而言，無論是對川普本人，還是對美國本身，亦或是對整個民主陣營，都是極其有利的。通過跨國抓捕馬杜羅極大地震懾住了那些蠢蠢欲動的獨裁者，嚇得他們躲進地窖隻求自保再也不敢輕舉妄動；通過轟炸伊朗核設施、斬首伊朗神棍集團，不僅阻止了伊朗的擁核化，還扼製住了急欲發動另一場毀滅性戰爭的中共的能源動脈，逼迫中共黨衛軍不得不由戰略進攻改為戰略防守……如果川普總統能在這曆史的關鍵時刻下令乘勝追擊的話，威脅全世界的“邪惡軸心”的解體指日可待。到那時，被逐個擊破的就不再是美國的傳統盟友，而是獨孤求敗的“邪惡軸心”了。

 

當美、以聯手轟炸伊朗的時候，受到鼓舞的伊朗人民因看到得解放的希望而紛紛湧上街頭，同伊朗革命衛隊進行勇敢的對抗……結果造成至少四萬名勇士被專製機器暴力屠殺，鮮血染紅抗爭的熱土……如今，發動解放戰爭者竟突然說放棄就放棄了，難道這就是交易的藝術？請問：該如何給這數萬冤魂一個交待？又該如何給未來的曆史一個交待？更令人感到擔憂的是，一旦世界人民再次失去對美利堅的信任，未來又該如何重建這份好不容易才修複的信任？

 

放棄即將鎖定的勝局——“以實力求和平”於不顧，突然轉向壓根就隻能貽笑世界的“以金援求和平”，豈不是誠如中共所嘲：“美帝國主義正在搬起石頭砸自己的腳？”

 

在奧巴馬與拜登的輪番折騰下，美國不僅元氣大傷，在國際上的聲譽也像過山車一樣呈直線下滑，直至川普再度當選——率領鷹派團隊幾番振作後才有所恢複。世界人民熱愛的是一個堅定無畏——“雖千萬人吾往矣”的戰神川普，而不是一個隻重虛名——一遇挫折就輕言放棄的川普；世界各國需要的是一個能帶領他們抵禦中共霸淩、走出困局的美利堅，而不是一個向邪惡軸心卑躬屈膝、通過輸送利益求和平的美利堅。

 

如果當初能一鼓作氣拿下伊朗，接受以色列的方案接管伊朗，何至於鬧到今天這種難以收場的尷尬局麵？然事已至此，又該如何解套？

 

上策：美、以聯手，繼續戰鬥，直至全麵接管伊朗，實現伊朗無核化。這樣做著眼於長遠利益，一勞永逸地解決問題。一旦“邪惡軸心”失去關鍵的支撐點——戰略要地中東，就隻能被迫進行戰略收縮，總扛把子中共就會淪為孤家寡人，隻能龜縮在第一島鏈之內，被動等待解體或者被肢解，再也翻不起多大的浪來。

 

中策：美國隻擔負起海麵封鎖的任務，由以色列、沙特、阿聯酋等海灣國家組成多國部隊，幹翻伊朗神棍政權，扶持起伊朗王室政權後，再過度到民選政權。這樣做既可以避開美國國會限製總統的交戰權，又可以把“伊朗的去核化”內化為中東國家之間的“內戰”，他國無權幹涉，中、俄同樣無法找借口插手中東事務。

 

下策：賠償戰敗的伊朗神棍集團250億美元，簽署一個永遠不會兌現的“伊朗無核化”協議，重走當年奧巴馬被“邪惡軸心”聯手欺騙、聯手戲耍的老路。這樣做的好處是川普總統可以置身事外，把鍋甩給下一位美國總統來背。不過如此一來，美利堅的誠信會再次跌入穀底，川普本人也將跌落神壇——由極有可能衝刺美國史上最佳總統跌回媲美美國史上最差總統，或許隻比奧巴馬、拜登強一丟丟吧！

 

何去何從？如何解套？望川普總統慎重考量。反勝為敗很容易，但是若想從頭再來恐怕就很為難了。

 

（未完待續）

 

 

The War of the Century, Chapter 60

 

Hu Dudu 

 

A Strikes Against Iran Must Not Be Half-Faced

 

According to General Flynn's open letter to Trump, President Trump is planning to pay Iran $25 billion in "reconciliation funds" in hopes of achieving the lofty goal of "Iranian denuclearization."

 

If this news is true, it's utterly laughable. Trump, the "war god," has repeatedly and publicly criticized Obama's appeasement policy—sending money to the Iranian regime for reconciliation—yet now he is personally directing and deploying such a policy. What exactly is he playing at?

 

While "dealing" is an art, it should adhere to certain principles. Dealing without principle is tantamount to betrayal, surrender, or abandoning one's original intentions. If your negotiating partner is a strategic partner with shared values, such as Japan or Israel, there is still a possibility for both sides to make concessions and compromises. However, if your opponent is a group of thugs, ruffians, or cult members, appeasement will not bring peace, but humiliation.

 

History has proven, and will continue to prove, that a dictatorial regime with its hands stained with the blood of its people is incapable of any substantial compromise or concession.

 

The CCP, having deceived the world for a century, has not only failed to make any positive changes but has intensified its reach across the globe—shifting from harming its own people to harming the entire world. Similarly, the Iranian regime, after receiving a large donation from Obama, not only failed to use the funds to improve people's lives but also accelerated its nuclear weapons development.

 

Throughout history, no dictatorial regime has ever been forced to make positive changes through "peace talks." For those madmen who engage in "all-out brawls," dictatorship is a path of no return, a path they can only follow to the bitter end. They will either be overthrown by their own people (like the Ceausescu couple), collapse under the combined forces of internal and external forces (like the former Soviet Union), or be hanged by the US through military intervention (like Saddam Hussein)...

 

Until the very last moment, evil totalitarianism will never cease its internal repression; until the very last moment, evil totalitarianism will never cease its external expansion; until the very last moment, evil totalitarianism will never cease its deception and fraud; until the very last moment, evil totalitarianism will never compromise (at most, it will feign compliance to delay and wait for the opportune moment to launch a fatal surprise attack).

 

 

If the great war god Trump is merely seeking fame and fortune like the appeasement-driven, cowardly Obama—perfectly appeased by a "Nobel Peace Prize" certificate—then it would be truly disappointing.

 

To deal with evil totalitarianism, one should either not provoke it in the first place, or once the decision is made, not give up halfway—"One should pursue the enemy relentlessly, not seek fame like a tyrant."

 

In the current situation, it is extremely advantageous for Trump himself, for the United States as a whole, and for the entire democratic camp. The transnational arrest of Maduro has greatly deterred those restless dictators, frightening them into hiding in their basements for self-preservation, no longer daring to act rashly; by bombing Iranian nuclear facilities and beheading the Iranian religious clique, not only has Iran's nuclearization been prevented, but the energy lifeline of the CCP, eager to launch another devastating war, has been strangled, forcing the CCP's armed forces to shift from strategic offense to strategic defense… If President Trump can order a follow-up attack at this critical historical moment, the disintegration of the "axis of evil" threatening the world is just around the corner. By then, it won't be America's traditional allies that are being defeated one by one, but rather the lone, invincible "axis of evil."

 

When the US and Israel jointly bombed Iran, the inspired Iranian people, seeing hope for liberation, took to the streets to bravely confront the Iranian Revolutionary Guard... This resulted in at least 40,000 brave warriors being violently massacred by the authoritarian machine, their blood staining the land of resistance... Now, those who launched the war of liberation have suddenly given up. Is this the art of the deal? How can we give an explanation to these tens of thousands of innocent souls? How can we give an explanation to future history? Even more worrying is that once the world loses trust in America again, how can we rebuild this hard-won trust?

 

By abandoning a seemingly assured victory—disregarding the principle of "peace through strength"—and suddenly shifting to a "peace through financial aid" approach that only invites ridicule, isn't this exactly as the CCP mockingly says: "American imperialism is shooting itself in the foot?"

 

Under the alternating turmoil of Obama and Biden, the United States not only suffered severe damage, but its international reputation also plummeted like a rollercoaster, only recovering somewhat after Trump's re-election and several attempts to revive the nation with his hawkish team. The world loves a resolute and fearless Trump—a warrior who "will go even if there are millions against him," not a Trump who values ??empty fame and easily gives up at the first sign of setback. The world needs an America that can lead them to resist CCP bullying and escape their predicament, not an America that kowtows to the axis of evil and seeks peace through the transfer of benefits.

 

 

If they had seized Iran decisively from the beginning and accepted Israel's proposal to take over, they wouldn't be in this embarrassing and unmanageable situation today. But now that things have come to this, how can they extricate themselves?

 

The best strategy: The US and Israel join forces to continue the fight until they fully take over Iran and achieve denuclearization. This approach focuses on long-term interests and resolves the problem once and for all. Once the "axis of evil" loses its key foothold—the strategic Middle East—it will be forced to strategically retreat, leaving the CCP, the dominant power, isolated and confined within the first island chain, passively awaiting disintegration or fragmentation, unable to cause any further trouble.

 

The middle strategy: The US only undertakes the task of maritime blockade, while a multinational force composed of Israel, Saudi Arabia, the UAE, and other Gulf states overthrows the Iranian regime, installs a royal government, and then transitions to a democratically elected government. This approach avoids the US Congress's restrictions on the president's power of belligerency and internalizes "Iran's denuclearization" as a "civil war" among Middle Eastern countries, leaving other nations with no right to interfere, and preventing China and Russia from finding an excuse to intervene in Middle Eastern affairs.

 

The worst option: Pay $25 billion in compensation to the defeated Iranian religious groups and sign a "denuclearization" agreement that will never be honored, repeating the mistakes of Obama being deceived and manipulated by the "axis of evil." The advantage of this is that President Trump can distance himself and shift the blame to the next US president. However, this would further damage America's credibility, and Trump himself would fall from grace—from a potential contender for the best president in US history to one comparable to the worst, perhaps only slightly better than Obama or Biden!

 

What to do? How to extricate oneself? President Trump should consider this carefully. Turning defeat into victory is easy, but starting over is likely very difficult.

 

(To be continued)