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Moscow Might Open a New Front of the War During the Moldovan

(2025-09-24 07:35:21) 下一個

By: Giorgio Provinciali

Live from Ukraine ????????

Dnistrivka The Russian Federation is losing significant amounts of personnel, weapons, and money on all fronts except two: the media, where it continues to invest with excellent results (as evidenced by the Italian news media), and the military on the Kherson flank, where, after forcing residents of the Korabel neighborhood to abandon their homes through drone and artillery bombardments, it has halted its advance and shelved the idea of landing there for now.

A very simple reason links both fronts: since Moscow is able to capitalize on its efforts, which are still substantial but far smaller than those it uses to fuel its war machine aimed at polluting the rest of the worlds information by swaying public opinion in its favor,events like Sundays parliamentary elections in Moldova are a veritable springboard for Russian troops to deploy where they have failed militarily.

By controlling that small country fragmented, vulnerable, and unprotected by NATO or the EU the Russian Federation could more easily send in additional military forces beyond those already there, invading Ukrainian Bessarabia (the areas Im writing from and the Odesa region), the oblast of Mykolaiv, and then rejoining those now bogged down in Kherson.

Photo source: NDV photo credits: Belarus Government

ThatMoldova is the missing link in the Russian plan to choke Ukraine from the southwas already clear in 2022, as Alexander Lukashenko himselfhintedat this goal during a briefing with his general staff held in the early hours of the so-called special military operation. On the map he showed to the cameras, the Belarusian leader pointed directly at Moldova, referencinga planned attack to divide Ukraine into four parts and cut off its access to the sea, reconnecting the troops invading its southern region with the separatist forces of Pridnestrovie(known as Transnistria), who have controlled the western flank of the former Soviet Republic of Moldova for 35 years.

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Alla on top a civilian infrastructure in Kherson destroyed by the Russian Federation copyrighted photo

Accordingto Moldovan Prime Minister Dorin Receans statement to the Financial Times last June,Moscow plans to do this by deploying up to 10,000 of its own soldiers in the pro-Russian enclave, supporting the 1,500 already there as peacekeepers through a compliant Moldovan government resulting from next Sundays vote.
This force would be about a third of the current Moldovan army, sitting on the largest powder keg from the Soviet era: the Cobasna Santabarbara.

Today I declare to you in all seriousness that our sovereignty, independence, integrity, and European future are under threat, warned Moldovan President Maia Sandu, denouncing howRussia is spending hundreds of millions of euros to buy hundreds of thousands of votes ahead of the September 28 elections.
This is a very high risk, potentially capable of overturning the bitter military situation in which Moscow has become stuck, managing to seize, after three years and one million human losses, just 1% more Ukrainian territory than it had already taken in the first months of 2022.

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Alla near a trench built in the Ukrainian Bessarabia to contain a Russian attempt of invasion copyrighted photo

Last October, Moldovan authoritiesseizedcitizens returning from the Russian Federation with $1.2 million in cash, ultimately connecting it to vote-buying involving at least 130,000 voters. The fact that the referendum on EU membership which Moscow aimed to prevent ended with a narrow 0.7% margin in favor of the pro-European side should give cause for concern.
This is why President Sanducalledon her fellow citizens to prevent the country from falling under Russian influence by voting for those who want a strong Moldova, independent of Moscow, with a transparent judicial system, and within the Euro-Atlantic orbit.

The Balti Municipal Prosecutors Officeannouncedyesterday that, after conducting over 30 searches and arresting one person for cryptocurrency financing of a political party with ties to Russia, the National Anti-Corruption Center seized nearly 600,000 in cash. This is the 250th raid conducted as part of an investigation into a Moscow-backed plot to incite mass riots and destabilize the country ahead of Sundays election, which has led to 74 arrests so far.
Two months ago, Recean criticized Russian investments that make up 1% of Moldovas GDP and large-scale online propaganda campaigns.

Crumbs, compared to what Moscow has spent over 43 months on missiles, armored vehicles, recruitment efforts abroad, and supporting regimes like North Korea and Iran, which back its war efforts.Cash in suitcases and lies on social media are easier ways to open a new front in the war at the polls.

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Alla reporting from Kherson, Ukraine ????????- copyrighted photo

莫斯科或將在摩爾多瓦選舉期間開辟新的戰線
作者:Giorgio Provinciali

來自烏克蘭的現場報道
德涅斯特河沿岸地區 俄羅斯聯邦正在各條戰線上損失大量人員、武器和資金;例外的是兩天戰線:媒體,它繼續在那裏投資,並取得卓越成效,正如意大利新聞媒體所證明的那樣;以及赫爾鬆側翼的軍隊,在透過無人機和炮擊迫使科拉貝爾附近的居民放棄家園後,俄軍暫停了推進,並擱置了在那裏登陸的想法。
一個非常簡單的原因將這兩條戰線的勝利聯係起來:由於莫斯科有能力通過影響公眾輿論來達到目的,盡管這些能力仍然相當可觀,但遠小於其用於維持其戰爭機器的努力,像周日的摩爾多瓦議會選舉這樣的事件,是俄羅斯軍隊部署在軍事上失敗的地方的真正跳板。
通過控製那些四分五裂、脆弱且不受北約或歐盟的保護的小國,俄羅斯聯邦可以更容易地在原有駐軍之外派遣額外的軍隊到那裏,入侵烏克蘭的比薩拉比亞(包括我正在寫作的和敖德薩地區)、尼古拉耶夫州,然後與現在陷入刻鬆的軍隊重新會合。
(圖片來源:NDV - 圖片版權:白俄羅斯政府)
摩爾多瓦是俄羅斯計劃從南部扼殺烏克蘭的缺失環節,這在2022年就已經很清楚了,正如亞曆山大盧卡申科本人在所謂的特別軍事行動最初幾個小時與他的總參謀部舉行的簡報會上暗示的那樣。在他向鏡頭展示的地圖上,這位白俄羅斯領導人直接指向摩爾多瓦,提到了將烏克蘭分為四部分並切斷其通往大海的通道的攻擊計劃,以期將入侵烏南部地區的部隊與德涅斯特河沿岸(也稱為外聶斯特裏亞)的分裂勢力重新連接起來,這些分裂勢力控製了前摩爾多瓦蘇維埃共和國西翼長達35年。
(圖片說明:Alla在刻鬆報道,俄羅斯聯邦摧毀了那裏的民用基礎設施--版權照片,攝影師:Giorgio Provinciali)
根據摩爾多瓦總理多林雷切安在去年六月在《金融時報》發表的聲明,莫斯科計劃通過在親俄飛地部署多達10,000名俄軍,並通過下周日選舉中產生的親俄摩爾多瓦政府,支持1,500名已經部署在那裏的維和部隊。
這支部隊數量是摩爾多瓦現有軍隊的三分之一,坐在蘇聯時代最大的火藥桶上:聖巴巴拉軍團。
摩爾多瓦總統馬婭桑杜警告說:今天,我以極大的嚴肅性向你們宣布,我們的主權、獨立、完整和歐洲未來正受到威脅。她譴責俄羅斯如何花費數億歐元來購買數十萬張選票,以應對9月28日的選舉。
這是一個非常高的風險,有可能扭轉莫斯科陷入的苦澀軍事局麵,在經過三年和一百萬人的損失後,僅設法奪取了比2022年頭幾個月多1%的烏克蘭領土。
(圖片說明:Alla在烏克蘭比薩拉比亞附近報道,建造的壕溝旨在遏製俄羅斯入侵嚐試 版權照片 Giorgio Provinciali)
去年10月,摩爾多瓦當局查獲了從俄羅斯聯邦返回的攜帶120萬美元現金的公民,涉及購買至少13萬選民選票的行為。莫斯科旨在阻止的歐盟成員國資格公投,以親歐派0.7%的微弱優勢獲勝結束,令人擔憂。
這就是為什麽桑杜總統呼籲她的同胞們通過投票支持那些想要一個強大的摩爾多瓦、獨立於莫斯科、擁有透明的司法係統並位於歐盟-大西洋軌道之內的候選人,來防止該國落入俄羅斯影響之下。
巴爾蒂市檢察官辦公室昨天宣布,在進行了30多次搜查並逮捕了一名為與俄羅斯有聯係的政黨提供加密貨幣融資的人後,國家反腐敗中心查獲了近60萬歐元現金。這是針對莫斯科滲透陰謀調查的一部分進行的第250次突襲,該陰謀旨在周日選舉前煽動大規模暴亂並破壞該國的穩定,迄今已經逮捕了74人。
兩個月前,雷切安批評了占摩爾多瓦GDP 1%的俄羅斯投資以及大規模的俄羅斯在線宣傳活動。
與莫斯科在導彈、裝甲車、國外征兵工作以及支持朝鮮和伊朗等支持其戰爭努力的政權上花費的43個月相比,這些都是微不足道的。手提箱裏的現金和社交媒體上的謊言是在投票站開辟戰爭新戰線的更簡單方法。
相比之下,莫斯科在導彈、裝甲車、海外招募工作以及支持朝鮮和伊朗等支持其戰爭努力的政權方麵花費了43個月。手提箱裏的現金和在社交媒體上的謊言是在投票站開辟戰爭新戰線的更簡單方法。
(圖片說明:Alla在烏克蘭刻鬆報道 - 版權照片,攝影師:Giorgio Provinciali)

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