原文鏈接：https://medium.com/@giorgioprovinciali/damned-truce-da29ab0f47d1?sk=6a5ada41b2c360e108ed9509467430c7
Damned Truce
By: Giorgio Provinciali
Live from Ukraine ??
Ternopil Damned Truce. Paradoxical as it may seem, this anathema is the logical consequence of everything wevereportedfrom the battlefield whenever Moscow violated its ceasefire promises: postremo, during the three days Washington claimed to give Moscow a chance to stage its parade of shame. As youll read later, this isnt the only reason for Ukrainian blame.
After exploiting that umpteenth farce to move armored divisions and carry out otherwise impossible rotations of personnel and equipment, in addition to committing horrendous crimes against Ukrainian civilians in Donbas, Kherson, and Sumy that wedescribedduring those days,the Kremlin used the ceasefire proclaimed by Donald Trump as a personal success to stockpile enough vectors of death to launch the most terrifying combined attack on Ukraine since the start of the war.
In the first phase, it employed many drones to overwhelm Ukrainian air defenses. It then used the full spectrum of available means to carpet-bomb energy plants, critical infrastructure in major cities, defense industries, and government buildings across the country in a relentless, large-scale assault aimed at preventing Ukrainian defenders from resting and regrouping.
The result was devastating: at least 1,560 vectors of death in less than 48 hours.
After the truce ended, Russian aircraft attacked the Dnipropetrovsk region, killing eight people and injuring at least 11 in Synelnykove, Kryvyi Rih, and Nikopol. This compelled the authorities in those districts to order the evacuation of critical areas, such as the most affected parts of Marhanets, where some of the most horrifying reports have been recorded since the war began. At the same time, it targeted the oblasts of Kharkiv, Odesa, and Poltava, leaving over 7,000 households without power.
Between May 12 and 13, once again utilizing Belarusian and Moldovan airspace, the Russian Air Force launched 753 high-explosive drones essentially cruise missiles against western Ukraine. Although Ukrainian defenses managed to neutralize a staggering 710 of them, three people died in Rivne, thousands of homes were left without power in Lutsk, an apartment building collapsed in Odesa, and a previously undetermined number of civilian buildings were destroyed in Kherson, Kyiv, Khmelnytskyi, Cherkasy, and Zhytomyr.Air raid alerts have been sounding all dayhere in Ternopil and in the regions of Chernivtsi, Ivano-Frankivsk, Lviv, Volyn, and Rivne, and explosions have shaken areas so close to the European Union border that the new government in Budapest, for the first time,summonedthe Russian ambassador,condemningthe most massive attack against Transcarpathia since the start of the war.
Between May 13 and 14, Moscow continued its combined strike, launching 731 missiles (675 drones and 56 other types of missiles) against Ukraine and other regions, focusinga terrifying volume of fire on Kyiv.
This retaliatory attack was something Vladimir Putin threatened if Ukraine disrupted the May 9th rashist parade.
Images of Kyivs Darnytsia district ravaged by Russian bombs that caused around forty civilian casualties, including deaths and injuries are circulating around the world. This happened despite Ukrainian air defenses intercepting and neutralizing 693 targets, including 652 drones and 41 missiles. Considering that in the previous 24 hours, Moscow had tried to exhaust Ukraines defenses, it was a record.
Connected to another, much sadder, one.
Largely echoing the bitter observations alreadymadein these pages and updating the already tragic data from CREA, IEEFA, and Bruegel that wecitedin recent weeks, Welt analystsexplained, just as the Russian bombing was at its peak, thatin the first quarter of 2026, European Union countries imported 6.9 billion cubic meters of Russian LNG. This is the highest quarterly level since the start of the large-scale invasion: 16% more than in the same period last year. CREAaddedan even more alarming figure:in April 2026,Russian revenues from fossil fuel exports rose to about 733 million per day,the highest in two and a half years.
After twelve years of trying to change strategy i.e., of war in Ukraine its alarming to see thatFrance is Europes largest importer, with 35% of its LNG coming from Russia, thatSpain increased its Russian LNG purchases by 43% annually, and thatBelgium is the only European country where Russia is the leading LNG supplier.
The most concerning point is thatMoscow continues its strikes and has increased their frequency.
The three Kh-47M2 Kinzhals, eighteen Iskander-Ms, and thirty-five Kh-101s launched in the latest wave are not relics of a depleted Soviet arsenal, but ratherrecently produced vectors from an industrial system still fueled by components, logistics, fuel, tax revenues, and financial flows.
Ukrainian anti-aircraft defenses may break all records, but focusing only on trajectories, radar, and interceptors is an almost offensive oversimplification.
Energy revenues reduce pressure on the Russian budget, and each steady influx of currency strengthens the war machine that produces, transports, and launches those carriers.
The contradiction is clear.
The European Union has officiallyadopteda plan to phase out Russian gas: the Commissionstatesthat dependence on Moscows gas has decreased from 45% of total imports to 12% in 2025, and that the REPowerEU regulation of January 2026 aims to eliminate the last 35 billion cubic meters of Russian gas annually from the European market. Butexactly during this transition period, as the war worsens, Russian LNG continues to reach European terminalsunder contractual agreements and withina political gray area that doesnt always break the law but often undermines its spirit.
This is whythe word truce now sounds like an insult.
Russia uses diplomatic pauses to relocate personnel, resupply forces, and stockpile drones and missiles. Meanwhile, part of Europe is using energy transitions to restock, continuing to buy resources that support Russian terrorism. The first hypocrisy leads to immediate massacre; the second makes the next one possible.
In 1.542 days of war, we recorded over 250 videos from ground zero and wrote more than 1,500 articles.
We are doing our best to provide genuine, first-hand reports from zones where almost no press dares to go. This means living in a kill zone constantly. We take the risk, but without your invaluable support, our voices would remain unheard and silent. Without brave people sharing our articles from afar, they would remain unread. Our reports would go unseen, and our efforts would be lost. Theres still a lot of work to do here, as the people around us are also in no better situation.
Were renewing our fundraising campaign and thanking everyone who joins us in helping to restore what Russia is destroying. Moving forward with only a small reimbursement for each article from a brave newspaper that believes in us is extremely challenging. Thats why we are grateful to all the kind people who support us and trust in our mission.
Even a small donation helps.
Well keep you updated on developments.
Thank you all, dear friends ??
該死的停火
作者：Giorgio Provinciali
翻譯：旺財球球
烏克蘭前線報道??
特爾諾皮爾該死的停火。盡管這聽起來矛盾，但這一詛咒正是我們從戰場上所報道的現實的邏輯結果：每當莫斯科違背其停火承諾時，這種情況就不可避免。在這三天時間裏，華盛頓聲稱是給莫斯科一個機會以進行其恥辱閱兵。正如你稍後將讀到的，這並非讓烏克蘭指責俄的唯一原因。
（圖：Alla與我在烏克蘭特爾諾皮爾一處被毀的民用基礎設施的廢墟中報道??版權所有，Giorgio Provinciali）
在利用了那場又一次的鬧劇、借機調動裝甲部隊、完成原本不可能的人員與裝備輪換，並在頓巴斯、赫爾鬆和蘇梅對烏克蘭平民犯下我們在那些日子裏所描述的駭人罪行外，克裏姆林宮還把唐納德川普作為個人功績所宣稱的停火，大量囤積足夠的死亡載體，從而發動自戰爭開始以來對烏克蘭最可怕的聯合打擊。
（視頻：Alla和我在烏克蘭米爾內錄下了這些影像版權所有，Giorgio Provinciali）
在第一階段，它動用了大量無人機壓製烏克蘭防空體係。隨後動用所有可用手段，對全國範圍內的能源廠、主要城市的關鍵基礎設施、防禦工業和政府大樓實施地毯式轟炸，展開一場持續大規模攻擊，旨在阻止烏克蘭守軍休整與重組。
結果是毀滅性的：不到48小時內至少發射了1560個死亡載體。
停火結束後，俄機襲擊了第聶伯羅彼得羅夫斯克州，在錫涅爾尼科沃、克裏維裏赫和尼科波爾造成8人死亡、至少11人受傷，迫使當地政府下令疏散關鍵區域，如受創最嚴重的馬爾哈內茨部分地區，自戰爭開始以來那裏記錄到了一些最駭人的情況。同時，打擊波及哈爾科夫、敖德薩和波爾塔瓦等州，導致超過7000戶家庭斷電。
（音頻：我在此自豪地與大家分享我在美國資深分析家Mark McNamee主持的正在書寫的曆史：烏克蘭戰爭最新一集中發言的片段）
5月12日至13日，俄空軍再次利用白俄羅斯和摩爾多瓦領空，對烏克蘭西部發射了753枚高爆無人機本質上是巡航導彈。盡管烏方防禦係統攔截摧毀了驚人的710枚，但在日夫訥有3人死亡，盧茨克數千戶斷電，敖德薩一棟公寓樓倒塌，赫爾鬆、基輔、赫梅利尼茨基、切爾卡瑟和日托米爾也有若幹民用建築被毀，具體數目尚未統計完成。這裏特爾諾皮爾及切爾尼夫齊、伊萬諾-弗朗科夫斯克、利沃夫、沃倫和日夫訥等地區全天響起空襲警報，爆炸震動發生在距離歐盟邊界極近的地區，以致布達佩斯新政府首次召見俄羅斯大使，譴責這是自戰爭開始以來對外喀爾巴阡地區的最猛烈的攻擊。
（圖：烏克蘭防空發布的2026年5月13日俄襲擊統計數據??照片來源與鳴謝：烏克蘭武裝部隊）
5月13日至14日間，莫斯科繼續其聯合打擊行動，向烏克蘭等地發射731枚導彈（675枚無人機與56枚其他類型導彈），將火力集中於基輔，規模極其恐怖。
這次報複性攻擊正是弗拉基米爾普京擔心的，即如果烏克蘭破壞了5月9日的拉什主義閱兵。
基輔達爾尼茨亞區遭俄軍轟炸，造成約四十名平民傷亡（包括死傷），襲擊後的畫麵在全球範圍內傳播。烏克蘭防空係統成功攔截並摧毀了693個目標，其中652架無人機、41枚導彈，而考慮到此前24小時內莫斯科已試圖耗盡烏克蘭防禦，這一數字仍創下一個紀錄。
但也是一個更為悲傷的紀錄。
（圖：烏克蘭防空發布的2026年5月14日俄襲擊統計數據??照片來源與鳴謝：烏克蘭武裝部隊）0.
呼應我們本欄之前的苦澀觀察並更新最近幾周引用的CREA、IEEFA和Bruegel的悲慘數據，德國《世界報》（Welt）分析指出，在俄軍轟炸達到高峰之際，即2026年第一季度，歐盟國家從俄羅斯進口了69億立方米液化天然氣。這是自餓大規模入侵烏克蘭以來的最高季度水平：比去年同期增長16%。CREA還給出更令人震驚的數字：2026年4月，俄羅斯來自化石燃料出口的收入約為每天7.33億歐元，為兩年半以來最高。
在經曆了12年的戰略調整之後，即在烏克蘭發動戰爭的十二年，令人震驚的是，法國仍是歐洲最大的俄羅斯LNG進口國，35%來自俄羅斯；西班牙年增43%的俄羅斯LNG采購；比利時則是唯一一個俄羅斯為其主要LNG供應國的歐洲國家。
最令人擔憂的是，莫斯科持續其攻擊並已提高攻擊頻率。
最新一波發射的3枚Kh-47M2匕首、18枚伊斯坎德爾-M導彈與35枚Kh-101巡航導彈，並非來自耗盡的蘇聯舊庫存，而是來自仍在運轉的、由持續零部件供應、後勤、燃料、稅收和金融流支撐的工業體係的近期產出。
（圖：烏克蘭克拉馬托爾斯克市中心??版權所有，Giorgio Provinciali）
烏克蘭的防空體係或許在不斷刷新紀錄，但僅把注意力放在彈道、雷達與攔截器上，那幾乎是一種冒犯性的過分簡化。
能源收益減輕了俄羅斯預算壓力，每一筆穩定的資金流入都在強化那個生產、運輸並發射這些武器載體的戰爭機器。
矛盾顯而易見。
歐盟已正式通過一項逐步淘汰俄羅斯天然氣的計劃：委員會稱對莫斯科天然氣的依賴已從45%的進口比例降至2025年的12%，並且2026年1月的REPowerEU法規旨在從歐洲市場完全消除最後的每年350億立方米的俄羅斯天然氣。但恰恰在這一過渡期，當戰爭惡化時，俄羅斯的LNG仍通過合同安排和政治灰色地帶持續進入歐洲終端。這些做法並非總是觸犯法律，但常常破壞法律的精神。
（圖：我在烏克蘭赫爾鬆的戰區，這裏是我們的家??版權所有，Giorgio Provinciali）
這就是為什麽停火一詞如今聽起來像侮辱。
俄羅斯利用外交間歇重新部署兵力、補給部隊並囤積無人機與導彈。與此同時，歐洲一部分則利用能源過渡之名進行補貨，繼續購買支撐俄羅斯恐怖主義的資源。第一種虛偽立刻導致屠殺；第二種則使下一次屠殺成為可能。
（圖：Alla與我在烏克蘭赫爾鬆一座被俄羅斯聯邦摧毀的加油站報道??版權所有，Giorgio Provinciali）
***
在1542天的戰爭中，我們從前線錄製了250多段視頻，並撰寫了1500多篇文章。
我們盡最大努力從幾乎沒有媒體敢進入的地帶進行真實的一手報道，這意味著我們長期生活在殺傷區。我們承擔風險，但若沒有你們寶貴的支持，我們的聲音將無從傳出。若沒有遠方的勇敢的人們轉發分享我們的文章，它們將無人問津。我們的報道會被忽視，我們的努力將付諸流水。這裏還有大量工作要做，周圍的人們境況同樣艱難。
我們正在更新籌款活動，感謝每一位加入我們、幫助修複俄羅斯破壞的人們。僅靠一家勇敢的報紙為我們每篇文章支付微薄稿酬以維持前線報道極為困難。因此，我們感激所有支持並信任我們使命的善良人們。
哪怕是小小的捐助也有助益。
我們會持續為你們更新事態進展。
謝謝大家，親愛的朋友們??
如果你認可我們的工作，請支持我們??
在過去三年裏，自烏克蘭大規模戰爭爆發以來，作為自由撰稿人，我們一直在烏克蘭戰爭的所有前線進行報道
Paypal捐款鏈接：https://www.paypal.com/pools/c/9oqgW5u5oE
