伽馬波

版權所有,未經許可,不得轉載。
個人資料
正文

貿易戰之七:無知之禍

(2018-04-10 04:54:45) 下一個

有黨的高官將中美關係美滋滋的描述為夫妻,矛盾歸結為同床異夢,而且還是老夫妻之間的那種來自各自的固執己見。在美國生活的若幹華裔高知,也樂顛顛的使用類似的詞匯,老年夫妻什麽的,隻是沒有說,是不是需要再來點威哥助助威。

無論從哪個角度,我怎麽聽、讀都覺得惡心呢?為的是這些中國人的心態,這些華裔的思考邏輯上的愚昧,還是黨的高級官員見識的短淺。亦有對中國人傳統性的一廂情願,他們內心深處的自卑帶來的哀求,總希望通過套套廉價的近乎,來獲得點苟延殘喘的生存機會。

我記住的,是一日夫妻百日恩;知道的,是夫妻之間至少曾經有過一段相互恩愛和肌膚之親;看到的,是夫妻為了共同孩子的美好未來,都有毫不猶豫的自我犧牲和無私奉獻。

而在中美關係之中,我看不到一樣。我能夠看到的是群狼共舞。

如果要細深糾纏,中美之間倒有幾分讓人感覺悲哀的童養媳和大老爺們的關係,至少美國人想這樣處理和維持。中國就是那個任勞任怨,待遇底還老不受待見的童養媳,美國就是那個耍大男人臭脾氣,享盡榮華富貴卻身在福中不知福的老爺。如此比較下來,是不是更覺得別扭,很丟身份和自我尊嚴?如果非得將中美之間用男女間的關係來類比,我看,充其量就是爺們和妓女的,連爺們和小三的都談不上。

國家之間沒有友情,隻有利益!如果一個國家的政府領會不到這點,隻能說,她的領導者獲得了太多不應該擁有的獨權,不合理的占位時間太久,以至於忘了國家到底是誰的,他所代表的到底是誰的利益。忘記了身後無數沒有發言權的苦逼民眾的利益和訴求。

看看這段時間美國總統的所作所為和所收獲的待遇,再看看中國政府高官那些類似於“夫妻同床異夢”之類缺乏知識、智慧的言論,估計對國人理解中國政治結構的內在問題有點幫助。中國普通民眾會不會很羨慕、景仰?中國政府是不是該好好思過,想想政治製度上的改革和突破?

川普得意洋洋,有股小人得誌的張狂:坐在的位置可是世界第一強國的最高權力寶座。他好想與眾不同的,認真的,享受一下這個寶座帶來的權力,特別是那種至高無上的感覺。於是乎,他做了在昔日總統看來想都不會想的大事:見誰不順眼就炒了;見哪個國家不順眼就叫著要用貿易戰大棒敲打敲打。結果呢?他的幕僚們倒是隻好一個個的卷鋪蓋搬離白宮,雖然離開很可能意味著是好事而非壞事。而他想用大棒敲打的國家對手,卻似乎遠沒有他欺淩的內閣們聽話好對付。

不僅如此,高調的叫了幾聲,不久才“驚訝”的發現,內外交困的是自己這個孤家寡人,結果很可能是無法收拾,最終既丟底子又掉麵子。現在隻是後院開始戰火燃燒:短期看,他的私人律師被FBI抄了家(這在中國是不是不可想象?),而作為總統的他,隻能氣憤的叫囂是對國家的攻擊,磨磨嘴皮。他跑到正怨聲載道的豆農那裏,很弱智和自欺欺人的說,不要怕來自中國的壓力,最壞的情況,隻當你們是在為國家做出犧牲,我會想辦法補償你們的。他以為這些農民都是小孩子,哄了一次還會再有一次讓自己耍的機會。

長遠看,對內,他樂顛顛的大幅度砍稅,意在通過製造一個更快速的經濟發展來彌補損失的聯邦收入,填補越來越大的赤子缺口,以為當年裏根的成功經曆可以再造。他似乎還是沒有看到時代已經變化太大:他已經沒有當年裏根麵對的那個良好的大環境。不出幾年,他就會發現,由於他的任性,美國累積的問題變的越來越難處理。他將成為美國曆史上最差的總統,很可能還沒有之一!

川普先生,別再製造更多的笑話了。言多必失,深思熟慮再出手吧,這是對你好!

延伸閱讀:

Deficit to top $1 trillion per year by 2020, CBO says

House Speaker Paul D. Ryan (R-Wis.) returns to his office. (Astrid Riecken/For The Washington Post)

By Jeff Stein April 9

America’s deficit is rising sharply and will surpass $1 trillion per year by 2020, a gap that has grown since Congress cut taxes and increased spending, the Congressional Budget Office reported Monday.

The federal deficit — the gap between how much the government takes in and how much it spends — will hit $804 billion in fiscal 2018, up 21 percent from 2017, the CBO said.

“The federal budget deficit grows substantially over the next several years,” CBO Budget Director Keith Hall said Wednesday after his agency released the report. “Federal debt is projected to be on a steadily rising trajectory throughout the decade.”

The tax law that President Trump and congressional Republicans passed in December will cut government revenue by $1.3 trillion from 2018 to 2028, the CBO reported. When the costs of paying interest on that debt are included, the tax cuts’ total addition to the deficit comes to $1.9 trillion, the CBO said.

During debate on the bill, Republican leaders predicted that their proposal would spark massive economic growth that would limit — or even eliminate — additions to the deficit. But the CBO projected Monday that the bill would boost economic growth 0.7 percent over a decade — not enough to keep it from adding to the deficit.

Members of both parties further added to the deficit in March when they increased military and domestic spending by nearly $300 billion over the next two years.

 The White House's spending priorities for 2018 renege on President Trump's promises to lower the deficit and keep Medicare and Medicaid spending without cuts.(Video: Jenny Starrs/Photo: Jabin Botsford/The Washington Post)

The CBO reported that from 2021 to 2028, deficits will average 4.9 percent of the total American economy — higher than at any point since World War II other than during the recession in 2008 and 2009.

Annual deficits topped $1 trillion from 2009 to 2012, because of greater spending on social safety net programs and economic stimulus, as well as slumping tax receipts as the economy cratered. But the current deficit increases come amid steady economic growth and low unemployment, a time when many economists recommend paying down the deficit.

“The timing of this is really concerning because we’re not coming out of a recession,” Hall said Monday.

The ballooning deficits reflect a growing gap between the level of military services and social spending the government is promising and how much it’s willing to tax Americans to pay for them. The current national debt, including projected future spending on social programs, totals more than $20 trillion.

“We’ve had a big tax cut and a big spending increase, and they’re showing up here,” said Benjamin Page, a senior fellow at the Tax Policy Center, a nonpartisan think tank.

Republicans and Democrats alike bemoaned the growing deficits Monday but offered opposing suggestions for how to deal with it.

Senate Minority Leader Charles E. Schumer (D-N.Y.) blamed the new tax law.

“The CBO’s latest report exposes the scam behind the rosy rhetoric from Republicans that their tax bill would pay for itself,” Schumer said in a statement Monday. “From day one, the Republican agenda has always been to balloon the deficit in order to dole out massive tax breaks to the largest corporations and wealthiest Americans, and then use the deficit as an excuse to cut Social Security and Medicare.”

Sen. James Lankford (R-Okla.) said the tax bill had helped stimulate growth, but that reining in the deficit would require slowing down increasing spending on social programs.

“To address our federal debt, we must slow the growth of entitlement spending, increase revenues with a growing economy, and make responsible spending cuts,” Lankford said in a statement. “The economy is improving, with the help of tax reform, but we now must get serious about spending reform and cuts.”

House Republicans are also expected to vote this week on a balanced-budget amendment to the Constitution, which would force federal revenue and spending to balance. That plan is widely viewed as a symbolic measure with little chance of passing Congress or winning the necessary ratification from the states.

Ultimately, neither party appears to have a deficit-reduction proposal that could get enough support from the other to pass.

If Congress continues to let deficits balloon, it faces several long-term risks. Deficits can snowball, as larger deficits require larger interest payments, pushing the government to borrow more and more money to close the gap.

The government has been able to finance its debt relatively cheaply because of a decade of historically low interest rates since the recession. But now the Federal Reserve is raising rates, meaning the government’s borrowing costs are projected to increase.

And as the government borrows more, it risks crowding out private investment that would have stimulated more economic growth, the CBO warned.

There is a nightmare scenario in which borrowers lose faith in the country’s ability to pay back its debts, demanding higher interest rates on their loans and setting off a spiral of larger deficits and still-higher rates.

“The bigger the debt, the bigger the chance of a fiscal crisis,” Hall said Monday. “The longer you wait, the more draconian the measures have to be to fix the problem.”

Still, some economists are skeptical of the peril posed by deficits, noting that during the Obama administration many deficit hawks warned of a fiscal crisis that has so far failed to materialize. Deficit hawks also predicted runaway inflation, but the growth in prices has been muted thus far.

“It’s all hand-waving and conjecture: There’s no grounding in valid economic principles that this is a debt crisis,” said Stephanie Kelton, a left-leaning economics and public policy professor at Stony Brook University and a former economic adviser to Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.). “It’s just conjecture.”

America last ran annual budget surpluses from 1998 to 2001, amid healthy growth in the economy at the end of President Bill Clinton’s administration. Those surpluses turned to deficits after tax cuts under President George W. Bush, as well as sharp increases in military spending for the wars in Afghanistan and Iraq.

Trump blasts FBI raids on his lawyer as 'disgraceful situation'

By JOSH GERSTEIN , 04/09/2018 05:13 PM EDT

President Donald Trump reacted angrily Monday after the FBI seized records from his longtime personal attorney, calling the law enforcement actions "disgraceful" and part of "an attack on our country."

An attorney for Michael Cohen, Trump's lawyer, said earlier Monday that federal investigators had executed a series of search warrants and seized records. The attorney, Stephen Ryan, said the New York action was taken following a "referral" from special counsel Robert Mueller.

"I just heard that they broke into the office of one of my personal attorneys, a good man," Trump told reporters at the White House. "It's a disgraceful situation...I've been saying it for a long time. I have this witch hunt constantly going on.”

"It's an attack on our country," Trump said. "It's an attack on what we all stand for."

The FBI action Monday came amid a swirl of questions about Cohen's role in a variety of matters related to Trump, including a pre-election payment of $130,000 to an adult film star who claimed to have had an affair with the real estate mogul a decade earlier. Cohen's activities have also come under scrutiny by congressional investigators probing alleged collusion between the Trump campaign and Russia.

The full range of locations the FBI raided Monday looking for Cohen's records was not immediately clear. Press reports said Cohen's Rockefeller Center law office was raided, as well as his Park Avenue apartment. Vanity Fair reported that agents entered a hotel room Cohen had been using at the Loews Regency Hotel in Manhattan.

In addition, a Washington law firm Cohen had been working with until recently — Squire Patton Boggs — told POLITICO that relationship has ended. Investigators also contacted the firm about a search warrant for Cohen's records, the firm confirmed.

"The firm’s arrangement with Mr. Cohen recently reached its conclusion, mutually and in accordance with the terms of the agreement," a statement from the firm said. "We have been in contact with Federal authorities regarding their execution of a warrant relating to Mr. Cohen. These activities do not relate to the firm and we are in full cooperation.”

In his statement, Cohen's attorney faulted the use of search warrants to seize attorney records — an unusual tactic because of the danger of intrusion on material protected by attorney-client privilege.

[ 打印 ]
閱讀 ()評論 (0)
評論
目前還沒有任何評論
登錄後才可評論.