查理.芒格的4 個檢查清單

These are his indispensible tools for __decision making and problem solving_

The Two-track Analysis (Pages 63,64)

• What are the factors that really govern the interests involved, reationally considered? (e.g., macro and micro-level economic factors).
• What are the subconscious influences, where the brain at a subconscious level is automatically forming conclusions? (influences from instincts, emotions, cravings, and so on).

Investing and Decision Making (Pages 64-76)

Charlie's informal., but extensive, list of factors worthy of consideration:

http://blog.wenxuecity.com/myblog/60957/201807/4724.html

Ultra-simple, General Problem-Solving Notions (Pages 279-281)

• Decide the big "no-brainer" questions first.
• Apply numerical fluency (use numerical analysis to support your points).
• Invert (think the problem through in reverse).
• Apply elementary multidisciplinary wisdom, never relying entirely on others.
• Watch for combinations of factors --- the Lollapalooza effect.

Psychology-Based Tendencies (Pages 440-498)

• The 25 Standard Causes of Human Misjudgement (中英文對照）：
  • 一、獎勵和懲罰 超級反應傾向
    二、喜歡/熱愛傾向
    三、討厭/憎恨傾向
    四、避免懷疑傾向
    五、避免不一致性傾向
    六、好奇心傾向
    七、康德式公平傾向
    八、豔羨/妒忌傾向
    九、回饋傾向
    十、受簡單聯想影響的傾向
    十一、簡單的、避免痛苦的心理否認
    十二、自視過高的傾向
    十三、過度樂觀傾向
    十四、被剝奪超級反應傾向
    十五、社會認同傾向
    十六、對比錯誤反應傾向
    十七、壓力影響傾向
    十八、錯誤衡量易得性傾向
    十九、不用就忘傾向
    二十、化學物質錯誤影響傾向
    二十一、衰老—錯誤影響傾向
    二十二、權威—錯誤影響傾向
    二十三、廢話傾向
    二十四、重視理由傾向
    二十五、lollapalooza 傾向——數種心理傾
    向共同作用造成極端後果的傾向
  • (以下的1-25 順序應該反過來。這爛編輯軟件！）
  1. Lollapalooza Tendency --- The Tendency to Get Extreme Consequences from Confluences of Psychological Tendencies Acting in Favor of a Particular Outcome
  2. Reason-Respecting Tendency
  3. Twaddle Tendency
  4. Authority-Misinfluence Tendency
  5. Senescene-Misinfluence Tendency
  6. Drug-Misinfluence Tendency
  7. Use-It-or-Lose-It Tendency
  8. Availability-Misweighing Tendency
  9. Stress-Influence Tendency
  10. Contrast-Misreaction Tendency
  11. Social-Proof Tendency
  12. Deprival-Superreaction Tendency
  13. Overoptimism Tendency
  14. Execessive Self-Regard Tendency
  15. Simple, Pain-Avoiding Psychological Denial
  16. Influence-from-Mere-Association Tendency
  17. Reciprocation Tendency
  18. Envy/Jeasousy Tendency
  19. Kantian Fairness Tendency
  20. Curiosity Tendency
  21. Inconsistency-Avoidance Tendency
  22. Doubt-Avoidance Tendency
  23. Disliking/Hating Tendency
  24. Liking/Loving Tendency
  25. Reward and Punishment Superresponse Tendency

 

 

Note:

From the book , Expanded 3rd Edition