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CAT 預測

(2012-12-23 15:17:06) 下一個
6月6日關盤CAT 84.65,收了個大十字星,聽說大十字星在不斷的下降時出現,可能是轉勢的信號,從Fibonacci的理論來開,W1走完,W2也走完?要開始W3?要是大形勢配合的話,和SP同步到1700?



如果大形勢不配合,那麽繼續下,下到80,81,82?加倉!如果上升,要注意近期中的各個resistance,MA50 85.44 / BB中線 86.65 / BB 上沿 89.10,還有 L和 R這個大W處的resistance,需長期hold。



CAT受經濟形勢的影響,中國的形勢尤其重要。

Caterpillar lost half a percent, even as gold and silver prices posted modest gains. Caterpillar finds itself in a difficult position, as low metals prices will likely force many of its mining-company clients to delay or downsize purchases of capital equipment. Ordinarily, cyclical economic improvement would bode well for the company, but to the extent that improving conditions lead to less monetary accommodation from central banks, prices of metals could fall further, and jeopardize that part of Caterpillar's business, even if construction and infrastructure activity pick up. That will be a difficult line for the company to walk in the year ahead.

7/24/2013 ER

small dividend

ah39寫於6/8/2013(24)


6/11/2013 note: 這個十字星沒有像預期那樣是中繼,股票往下掉,今天closing 83.52,這兩天還一度掉到82ish。

http://www.fool.com/investing/general/2013/07/06/last-weeks-worst-performing-dow-components.aspx
Last Week's Worst Performing Dow Components
CAT 7/5/13 82.14

7/14/2013 Many analysts have contributed Caterpillar's rising share price with rising gold prices this week. As concerns about inflation creep into investors' minds, gold is seen as a safe haven and a shield against losing buying power, and increasing precious-metal prices help mining companies and mining equipment manufacturers such as Caterpillar. But despite a strong one-week performance, shares of Caterpillar are still down 2.72% year to date.  

看來Cat與大盤同步,金子的反彈也幫了忙。

http://www.fool.com/investing/general/2013/07/22/will-this-stock-bounce-off-the-bottom-wednesday.aspx
Will This Stock Bounce off the Bottom Wednesday?M(ER) CAT 的性質


http://beta.fool.com/hoangquocanh/2013/07/22/should-we-avoid-caterpillar-now/40773/?source=eogyholnk0000001
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