蝴蝶效應到底是什麽意思？

最早由氣象學家洛輪茲提出的蝴蝶效應，不是指真實的氣象係統，而是指模擬自然係統

的數學模型（非性係模型），用這種模型做長期性的預報是不可能的，因為初始條件改變一點點

，結果就會出現巨大差異。

，ChatGPT reply ：Yes, you are correct. The "butterfly effect" is primarily about the outcomes observed in mathematical models of weather and other complex systems. It highlights the sensitivity of these models to their initial conditions. In the real world, this translates to the idea that weather is inherently unpredictable over long periods due to the immense complexity and interdependence of various factors. Lorenz's concept was a way to explain why precise, long-term weather forecasting is so challenging, rather than a literal claim about the direct cause-and-effect in weather phenomena.