【12.01 美國 華盛頓郵報】 緊急關頭，中國不願對話

【12.01 美國 華盛頓郵報】 緊急關頭，中國不願對話


As Rome Burns, China Won\'t Talk
緊急時刻，中國不願對話

So the global economy is in meltdown, Europe and China are both facing the prospect of a seriously ugly downturn. They\'d scheduled a summit for this week. You\'d think both sides would want to participate. Not China.

目前，全球經濟垮台，歐洲和中國都麵臨嚴重衰退的前景，你會認為他們都想參加本周舉行的峰會，中國則不然。

China canceled it. The reason? Because several European leaders -- including French President Nicolas Sarkozy -- have recently met with the Dalai Lama. Whoa! Now there\'s a solid reason if I ever saw one. You meet with Buddhist spiritual leader, we blow off key meeting on future of the world.


中國將其取消了，原因是什麽呢？因為幾個歐洲領導人——包括法國總統薩科奇——最近會見了達賴喇嘛。哇哦！我現在要是見了一個就有充分的理由了。你會見佛教精神領袖，我就取消事關世界未來的關鍵會議！

There is still something of the petulant 3-year-old here, brazenly pursuing something that is decidedly not in her interests. It illustrates the fact that China\'s foreign policy, its strategy and its world view are anything but mature.

這就像一個三歲的小孩子使性子一樣，厚顏無恥的追求一些她不感興趣的東西。這表明中國的外交政策其戰略和世界觀一點都不成熟。


First, it\'s not like China doesn\'t need friends right now. It\'s economy is in crisis. More than half of all of China\'s toy manufacturers are belly up. The Federation of Hong Kong Industries says that one quarter of its members\' 70,000 plants in China have closed or will soon close. After annual double-digit growth for the past decade, China\'s economy is only expected to grow by about 9 percent this year, if that. Next year could be a lot worse. Over the weekend President Hu Jintao told a gathering of Communist Party members that the global crisis could undermine the country\'s economy and threaten the party\'s capacity to rule China.

首先，目前中國並非不需要朋友。其經濟正處於危機中。超過一半的玩具製造業已近破產。香港工業聯盟表示其在中國的70000家工廠的四分之一已經或即將關閉。經過十年兩位數的年增長率後中國今年的增長率預期僅為9%，如此下去，明年增長率可能更糟。上周末，胡錦濤主席在一次共產黨員會議上說全球經濟危機已近破壞中國經濟並威脅到共產黨統治中國的能力。

Europe is China\'s largest market. But the Europeans are restless. European businesses want to know why they sell more stuff to Switzerland than to China. Cancel a summit and these questions will only grow louder.


歐洲是中國最大的市場。不過歐洲卻不安寧。歐洲商人想知道為什麽他們對瑞士的銷售量比中國還多。取消峰會後這些聲音將會更大。

Second, it\'s not like a meeting between Sarkozy and the Dalai Lama is going to amount to much for the Tibetan cause anyway. It\'s not going to result in the withdrawal of Chinese troops from the Tibetan plateau or independence for Tibet, right? And it certainly won\'t resuscitate the moribund talks that representatives of the Dalai Lama have been holding with China for several years now. Those talks are practically dead.

其次，達賴和薩科奇的會麵無論如何對西藏事業都起不了多大作用。他不會導致中國軍隊從西藏高原撤軍或者西藏獨立。不是嗎？並且，這肯定不會使達賴喇嘛私人代表與中國多年來幾乎瀕臨消亡的對話恢複。這些對話的大門幾乎關死了。

So why did Hu really blow off Sarko?

那為什麽胡錦濤要放薩科奇鴿子？

The stated Chinese reason in this case bears scrutiny because of its brazen honesty. According to wire service reports, Qin Gang, a spokesman at the China\'s foreign ministry, acknowledged to reporters that France was being held to a higher standard than, say, the United States, whose leaders routinely huddle with the Dalai Lama and barely suffer a slap on the wrist.


由於其如實的回複，中國所述的理由是經得起審查的。根據通訊社記者報道，中國外交部發言人秦剛對記者承認對法國比對美國有更高的標準。美國領導人經常與達賴喇嘛混為一團但並不會受到一些不痛不癢懲罰

France keeps saying that China is a strategic partner. Then it should do more than other countries, mean what it says and set a high standard for its behavior, Qin said.
We hope France will make efforts to honor its commitments and not do things that harm the feelings of the Chinese people or undermine the foundation for the two countries\' cooperation.

秦剛說：法國總說中國是戰略夥伴。那就要付出比其他國家更多的行動。言行統一並為自己的行為設立更高標準。我們希望法國努力尊重其責任，不要作出傷害中國人民感情，有損兩國合作基礎的事情。

Chinese tea-leaf readers have focused on another reason: They\'ve wheeled out the old bogeyman of Chinese political calculus, claiming that unidentified hard-liners were behind the cancellation. That\'s rich.

中國預言家們都聚焦與另一原因：中國擺脫了以往的政治路線，聲稱這次峰會取消的背後有鷹派人物的背影。這真是夠滑稽的。

The reality is that China just screwed this one up.事實是，中國這次完全搞砸了。


http://newsweek.washingtonpost.com/postglobal/pomfretschina/2008/12/china_cancels_summit_with_europe.html