我的一些心得，和新手們共勉 ZT

From DQ, backgroud of author is unknown.

Some result is very referencial to trade.

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我的一些心得，和新手們共勉。 請高手們指教 （1）。  
來源: 1266 於 06-01-14 12:33:20
    
先說說自己，在醫院工作。沒有固定的時間上網，不能整天坐在電腦前。但每天都有一些時間看一下CNBC。 去年八月初進市， 當時納指剛過2200。現在看正好進在最高點。有兩個account. 各有10萬左右。用了兩種不同的 trading technique. 現在比較一下結果。 希望能學到一些經驗。

Account #1:
目標。Sustain long-term growth. Will take small swing trade if chances are good. Avoid Serious Risk.
操作：Own 10 Stocks/ETFs at 10k each. Keep 5k to 10k cash reserve (Remember to sign up Money Market Reserve, which gives you 3% interest instead of nothing.)

Long Term Holding;
EWZ: bot at 26, Currently 38, up almost 50%. 年底還有2% dividend.
EWW: bot at 32 (9/05)。Now 38. up 21%. Dividend 1.5%
EWJ. Bot at 11 on 8/23/05, when it broke out of long term resistant of 11. 然後看好，破例加1萬 在 12 （9/05）now 14. up 24%
EWA. Bot 19.4 (sep/05) out at 19.22 (12/05) with 1% lost.
EEM Bot at 85, now 95. gain 12% Dividend 1%

Swing trades.
Ovti: in 14, sold at 18. miss the hugh 28% 跳空。Enter again few days later at 20. exit yesterday at 23. total gain about 30%
Play. In at 22. out yesterday at 31. again 20%
Siri. In at 7.12, stop out at 7.19. no gain after commission. But avoid down side risk.. Looking to get in if it sustain above 200MVA around 6.35. Forge it if it ever close below 6.15
JDSU. Stop buy in at 2.80. stop lost below recent high around 2.75
TIE even now.
Cray. Bot at 1.38. took half position off at 1.80. will let the rest of it ride.

Bottom line
Total Gains 22k, translate to annual return of 55%. Commission paid around $250

心得：
1． 先要有明確的進市和出市目標。
2． 不要急於進市。但亦不要遲疑。 比如在EWW上，因為當心太overload 在南美的市場，雖然進市價很好， 猶豫了幾天。進在32， 要不能進在28 左右。會有35% 的gain. 而不是20%， 而且後來回調在30 的時候沒有那麽大的壓力。那時有幾天大量的跌，而且是跌過50mva, 跌幅超過12%。 幾乎要割肉。 因為決定了做長線。 繼續持有。結果證明是bear trap. 轉頭後連創新高。進價如果是28的話，應該會加倉。
3． 跟風的trade, 一定要止損。不然的話就套在Siri上了。
4． Take profit when there are big gains. 覺的take profit 的時候最難決定。我出了ovti 和 play. 結果如何，還有待觀察。
5． 雖然miss the 新年的大漲，但選好進價位是我比較看重的。回頭壓力小。 因為沒時間整天盯著。寧可錯過1000， 不要套中一個。
 
 

我的一些心得，和新手們共勉。 請高手們指教 （2）。  
來源: 1266 於 06-01-14 15:00:17
  
第二個account 是120K. 主要用來practice. 大部分是cash. （over 50%）. 也是10個股票。比較aggressive. 結合long, short, 和option (非常的green, 就做了幾手)。

幾個主要的Trades:
Long:
Closed;
ISRG. Biggest gainer of the year. 100%
ICE. In at IPO, 43, double at 35. closed day before yesterday at 45. total gain 14%. Whew!
MRVL. In at 45. sold before the new yeat at 58. miss the recent big gain. Damn.
CRXL. In at 22, add at 20. sold at 25. miss the rise to 30。 Oh well.
HPQ, GLW, DGIN 都被stop out with no gain.
Gern in at 10.25, cut lost at 8.77, down 15%
SGTL in at 20, cut lost at 15.5, down 25%
MCDTA in at 5.1, double at 3.8, cut lost at 3.65, down 40%. The worst trade of the year.
Current holding:
AAPL, MSFT, IBM. MO, JOF, CFW. AMD, and add INFY yesterday.

Short
Shorted GOOG, SNDK, NVDA, WBSN. All cut lost. Thank god I only try just a few shares. 做short實在太難了。壓力非常大。導致止損點非常close. 又都是high volatile 的股。全被震出。

Option:
AAPL in with 3k when aapl trade at 55. sold at 64, one day before expiration. Gain 6000
MOT in with 3k. Market turn south. Total lost
HPQ. .in 3k also. 被MM正kill 在 strike price 30. total lost.
Currently hold aapl feb 85 call. In the money.

Bottom line.
Gain less than 5k. much much more stress. Commission paid over 2400. 都幫broker掙錢了。

心得：
1. It is very hard for average trader to make money doing swing trades.
2. Continue to learn trading technique. Will try combine option and stock for some spread and straddle for delta neutral trading.
3. Easiest money is made by sustain long term investing. Don’t get hook up by some of the astounding profit claimed by someone here in the forum. You can get millions by playing lottery, but the chances are you loss money in the end.