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LDK 2008 earning estimate $2-$2.5,(updated version)

(2007-12-19 18:29:23) 下一個
LDK 2008 shipment is planned at 530MW,

currently sale price $2.27 per W,

quarterly decline rate 1.5%

==> rev $1.1B, (growth rate roughly 120%)

gross margin 25% to 30%

==> gross proft $275--$330m

op cost, $30-35m,

==> net profit $240m -- $300m (growth roughly 100% to 150%)

fully diluted shares, 112.5m now, maybe 120m by end 2008

==> 2008 diluted net earning per share: $2.0-$2.5

now, it's up for the market, ie, growth fund or aggressive growth fund managers to allocate a '08 PE for LDK which is fully expect to grow at 100%, (and more beyond in '09 with own poly factory)

PE 20: $40-50,
PE 25: $50-60,
PE 30: $60-75,
PE 40: $80-100,

keep that in mind, take advantage of market mispricing opportunities,


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