SoldSKF125coveredcallat$8.
Thisisforshorttermprotection.ItcanbeclosedatrighttimeorholduntilOE.
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蒼海泛舟
方顯英雄本色-- 股市投資探討
博文
(2008-08-28 08:45:02)
(2008-08-28 07:04:23)
(2008-08-25 07:19:18)
大盤比預計的還弱，連開高都省了，直接走低，不給持倉過周末的新牛一點機會。10yrT-Bill竟然漲了5.72%IEF也有較大幅的增漲，表現出投資者紛紛湧向Saftyzoon的情況。
大盤的回落，可能會持續幾天。不要輕易做多。
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(2008-08-23 09:07:00)
(2008-08-22 19:17:42)
今天大盤終於證實了預期的Rally.最大的變化是今天和昨天正相反，石油回吐了昨天全部的漲幅，美元收複了昨天全部的失地。
在昨天和前幾天一周分析中都在預測大盤會在周三以後的幾天恢複。原因主要是從市場情緒分析得來的。在周一和周二連續的PPIinflationnumberandLEH,AIG,aswellasFREandFNMnegtivenews.傳媒中在大量傳播這些信息。但仔細分析一下，並沒有什麽新鮮的消息。Highoi[閱讀全文]
(2008-08-22 16:36:43)
Itisrightwaytogotograduallychangetoalternativeenergyfromfossilfuel.Butitstillhaslongwaytogo.Bio-fuel:efficiencyandcostarestillbigproblem.Isawsomegasstationstarttoprovidegreengas,mixedgas+bio-fuel.Cost:$5.7/g.Bio-fuelhasonly63%efficiencyofgas.SideEffects:foodpriceup.SolarPower:thecostistoohigh.Thereisnoeconomyinsentivesatallbeforeoilpricehigherthan$200/b.Needamajortechnologybreakthroughtoresolvetha...[閱讀全文]
(2008-08-22 11:21:57)
JustsawthepostontopofDQ(Oil,Gold,Dollarandhedgefund)Itwasagoodpostregardingcollectingdataandopinionsonthesebigtopics.ButIhavetosay:Someconclusionsinthispostareshortsightandmisleading.(Thoseopinionsaretooclosetothemediacommonexplanation,andareold.)Why:Let'slookthefactsinsteadofopinions:OIL:1.Oilsupplyanddemandisstillimbalancedfromthelongtermview.Chinademandforoilhasbeenincreased5.7%thisyearandincre...[閱讀全文]
(2008-08-21 10:13:10)
OIL:
Crudeoildoesnothasseriousreboundsinceit'spricedropfrompeak$147+Thisisthefirsttimethatoilhasserioustechnicalreboundafterbigselloffstartfrom7/11/08.Thetargetforthisreboundisaround$128-130Afterthis,oilmaymoveinarangefrom110to130forsometime.Don'texpecttheoilwillgorightbackto147-150levelanytimesoon.BeforeNov.election,ithasstrongincentivesfromRep.politicianstokeepoilpricelow.Thishasbeenrea...[閱讀全文]
(2008-08-20 22:03:31)
Today'sMarketwasprettyimpressiveespeciallylatehalfofthesession.MarketdownsignificantlyrightafteropenduetoGSE(FRE,FNM)concern,dragdownXLFbelowcriticalsupport19.9anditdownto19.61atlowpoint.Butithasremarkablerecoverinthelatersession.XLFendup0.41(2.05%)to20.35.Bytoday'sclose,SPXgain7pointsto1275andDowgain69.Fromchart,SPYhaslonglegbottomcandle,ithasdoublebottominpastfewdaysat1263levelandholditverywelld...[閱讀全文]
(2008-08-20 09:21:54)
已經出空所有倉位，做壁上觀。[閱讀全文]
