"中國的計劃生育策略是一個相信科學的重大失誤。"

This is something I couldn't understand. The math seems simple: in a simplified situation, if each couple makes two children, that is, every two people making two people to fill in their share in the population once they die, the population will stay constant.

That also means, the young population halfs if each couple makes only one child. Two generations later, the young population will be 1/4 of their grandparents' generation. Therefore, the one-child policy is obviously wrong and even dangerous!

The authority then must have been smart enough to see this, then why did they still implement it? Am I missing something, at least mathematically?

所有跟帖： 

• 我大膽猜測一下，因為中國的人均資源太過局限，沒有計劃生育，那片土地養不了那麽多人，必定政局不穩。 -shuyezi- ♀ (0 bytes) () 11/29/2022 postreply 15:05:49

• If true, too brutal. -中間小謝- ♂ (57 bytes) () 11/29/2022 postreply 17:18:25

• 94%的人口居住在胡煥庸線以東的43.8%的國土上，而且東南多山少地，北方平原幹旱。 -老生常談12- ♂ (0 bytes) () 11/29/2022 postreply 18:48:42

• 這是當時有人以科學的名義認為必須采用獨生子女政策。 -solo1- ♂ (334 bytes) () 11/29/2022 postreply 15:48:49

• "計算機算出來.." -中間小謝- ♂ (541 bytes) () 11/29/2022 postreply 17:06:35

• 這就是我要說的，計算機算出來的是錯的，但人們有偏信。 -solo1- ♂ (295 bytes) () 11/30/2022 postreply 05:30:56

• 我記得當時有個說法是人太多了，剛建國時的四億人才理想，根據這個目標就有了一胎的政策。 -snowandlotus- ♀ (0 bytes) () 11/29/2022 postreply 22:27:58