拜托哪位專家給分析分析,根據抹淚的理論,我火今年的表現低於賬麵水平,為什麽?

I bet if you ask a stats geek like Morey, he will tell you by using our win-loss, Rockets have underperformed by about 5 wins.

 

kuku is online now Unread Today, 10:57 AM   #261
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Quote:
Originally Posted by REEKO_HTOWN View Post
No, it's called being a pessamistic jerk just because you disagree with the coach that surprise surprise has the youngest team in the NBA sitting on 41-33 record.
Daryl Morey was the first to adapt Pythagorean expectation to professional basketball while a researcher at STATS, Inc.. He found that using 13.91 for the exponents provided an acceptable model for predicting won-lost percentages. Daryl's "Modified Pythagorean Theorem" was first published in STATS Basketball Scoreboard, 1993-94.



Win%= Points total e*(13.91)]/[Points Scored e*(13.91)+Points against e(13.91)]

e* denoted as exponential power


Rockets Points Total: 7839 (74 games)
Points against: 7573

Expected W-L percentage : 0.618
Expected W-L: 45.7 wins and 28.3 losses

I bet if you ask a stats geek like Morey, he will tell you by using our win-loss, Rockets have underperformed by about 5 wins.

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太高深了,看不懂, 哈 -plateau- 給 plateau 發送悄悄話 plateau 的博客首頁 (0 bytes) () 04/02/2013 postreply 10:13:57

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