First of all, trying to predict the future based on past performance is a fundamental logical flaw; supposing that the United States has never suffered any protracted economic downturn, it would nevertheless be logically unjustifiable to imply that it never will. And the United States has had prolonged periods of economic difficulty, the most notable of which was the Great Depression in the late 1920s and 1930s; it was only able to recover because of World War II. Going back further, during the 1870s the Long Depression, although less severe, was, as the name implies, a long period of stagnation and little growth.
我們預測未來, 一定要站在曆史的高度. 曆史上, 美國每次的經濟衰退都隻是小傷病而已, 總體的趨勢是他在建國短短百年就成為世界頭號強國, 而且保持了100年. 這和他的以人為本的憲法有密切關係,這使他每次都能成功地抓住機遇. 這正是中國需要借鑒的地方.
On the topic of the United States' natural resources, the United States has already exhausted much of its available resources. Most continental oil reserves have been depleted, and coal reserves are becoming increasingly difficult to access, so the United States has had to look to foreign sources of fuel. Of course, the only reason it has such easy access to Arabian oil is through territorial aggression: case in point, consider that the United States has attacked Libya, which has oil reserves, and has not attacked Syria, which has perpetrated similar crimes against humanity and does not have oil reserves.
你重新去查一下資料, 美國的近海原油幾乎沒有被開采 (中國四海之內皆油田),美國的森林也沒有被開采(看看中國的森林覆蓋率連美國的零頭都不到),美國的稀土儲量不比中國少多少,也沒有被開采(中國正在大規模賤買稀土)........美國襲擊利比亞為石油嗎? 不完全是. 而是為了從戰略上保護整個地中海的地區安全利益, 其中包括中國的利益, 一個獨裁的利比亞對中國來說也是嚴重的威脅. 不是嗎? 請問美國二次大戰中打擊德國, 日本,是為了石油嗎? 非也. 而是為了保護人類的生存環境.這其中很大一部分是責任. 當中國強大到如美國一般的時候, 也會有此責任感.隻是中國現在的能力還無法承擔這種責任.
Furthermore, saying that Russia remains economically vibrant due to its natural resources is simply not a correct statement. Since the dissolution of the Soviet Union, Russia has experienced negative population growth and frequently negative economic growth; it was this sluggish economy that toppled the presidency of Boris Yeltsin. Russia now is nowhere as strong as the Soviet Union used to be, and is inarguably weaker than China. In an interesting turn of history, with the retirement of the last NASA space shuttle, the United States space program is now entirely dependent... on Russia.
一個國家真正的強大與否, 與我們手頭上的工資多少, 房產多少根本沒有關係. 俄羅斯人的平均生活水平遠比中國人的平均生活水平高. 他們雖然經曆了蘇聯解體, 經濟衰退. 但你該問一下, 為什麽中國至今還有從俄羅斯購買 SU-27, SU-33戰鬥機? 為什麽中國還要向俄羅斯進口輸油管線? 這才是一個國家真正強大的標誌! 俄羅斯從我們這裏買什麽了? 貂皮大衣而已! 即使現在中俄大戰,中國仍然處於明顯的劣勢, 不是嗎? 這需要我們這些普通中國人保持清醒, 否則第二個蒙古還會別割出去.
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