Here’s the fully annotated chart showing major McClellan Volume Oscillator (MVO) bottom signals from:
Key Lows Labeled on the Chart
|
? Date |
MVO Level |
Market Event |
Outcome |
|
Mar 2020 |
~-130 |
COVID crash |
Major low → huge rally |
|
Jun 2022 |
~-115 |
Fed tightening panic |
Bottom → Q3 bounce |
|
Jul 2024 |
~-99 |
First wave of selloff |
Short-term bounce |
|
Aug 2024 |
~-128 |
Final capitulation flush |
True bottom → strong rally |
|
Aug 2025 |
-103.23 |
Current oversold level |
Bounce likely, but watch for final flush |
What You Can Learn
- Every major < -100 oscillator low historically marked a key bottom or turning point.
- The pattern of a bounce, then final drop, is repeating.
- Current setup is technically oversold → high probability of short-term rebound.
- But if the bounce is weak, another flush below -120 may follow — that’s historically a strong long entry zone.
你可以從中學到什麽：
- 每一次振蕩指標低於 -100 的情況，曆史上幾乎都標誌著一個關鍵的市場底部或轉折點。
- “先反彈、再最終下跌”的模式正在重複出現。
- 當前的結構在技術上已屬超賣 → 出現短期反彈的概率很高。
- 但如果這次反彈較弱，可能還會有一次跌破 -120 的“最終洗盤”——這種情況下，曆史上往往是一個不錯的做多入場點。
