利多:negative sentiment, not that many topping signs (there are indeed some worrying signs), defensive stocks still lag behind, very likely 2 25BPS rate cuts + stop of QT
利空:spx is not cheap at current level, AI could be a bubble, highly speculative stocks are flying again.
對多方來講現在應該慢慢從TECH轉到defensives, 最後這些defensives一定會有一衝的。
對空方來講現在就是緊咬住TECH不放,當然要做好繼續被擠壓的準備。
Both sides need patience, both sides have chance to win, short term end result could be both sides make money.