從2000年定投之回顧

本帖於 2025-03-30 15:54:41 時間, 由普通用戶 風嘯嘯壯士 編輯

 利用周末時間,設計一個定投計劃,看看過去25年的收益是否像說的那麽好(為了簡單,沒考慮分紅)

2000-01-01 started  investing $1,000 per month on SPX, price was based on the first trading day of next month. For example, 2025-Jan, $1,000 was ordered at the closing price of 2025-02-03 since that's the first trading day of last Feb.

主要時間點:
2000-01-01 本金 $1,000   market value $1,000    started
2004-11  本金 $59,000   market value $59,766     從 .com 坑裏出來
2007-10  本金 $94,000   market value $123,200   before housing bubble crash
2009-03  本金 $111,000   market value $66,200   housing bubble bottom
2010-04  本金 $124,000   market value $122,300 從 housing bubble 坑裏出來, 從2000年到2010年,不考慮公司的contribution match, 這十年零收益還不到
2020-03  本金 $243,000   market value $532,500 before COVID
2020-04  本金 $244,000   market value $426,800 COVID
2025-03  本金 $303,000   market value $1.1 million

compared to GLD, since GLD was available from Nov, 2004, use $59,000 to be comparable to SPX.
2004-11 本金 $59,000   market value $59,000  started
2007-10  本金 $94,000   market value $57,500   before housing bubble crash
2009-03  本金 $111,000   market value $89,000   housing bubble bottom
2010-04  本金 $124,000   market value $122,300 從 housing bubble 坑裏出來
2020-03  本金 $243,000   market value $304,000 before COVID
2020-04  本金 $244,000   market value $305,000 COVID
2025-03  本金 $303,000   market value $631,000

所有跟帖: 

Winner 啊! -算盤88- 給 算盤88 發送悄悄話 (0 bytes) () 03/30/2025 postreply 15:56:05

時間拉長到70年代,定投到現在,spx跑不過gold :) -littleshadan- 給 littleshadan 發送悄悄話 littleshadan 的博客首頁 (0 bytes) () 03/30/2025 postreply 17:23:10

25年才翻倍嗎?那東西岸不如同期月貸一千買出租房了 -Amita- 給 Amita 發送悄悄話 (0 bytes) () 03/30/2025 postreply 18:35:13

看樣子再過半年到一年,指數腰斬以後,盈利還有80% -害怕- 給 害怕 發送悄悄話 (0 bytes) () 03/30/2025 postreply 19:27:38

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