倉位決定觀點:美圓目前可能是非常重要的(high quality tradable)頂部,小番茄稻子46K美眉提前展開了

本帖於 2024-12-21 08:47:19 時間, 由普通用戶 芳華萬裏 編輯

RRR dried up to < 100B yesterday (from the peak of 2.9T). Lowering interest rate and balance sheet tightening are CONTRADICATIVE operations - when the 2.9T excess cash in the market is nearly soaked up, I wouldn't be surprised to see FED stop balance sheet reduction in months.

The chart at bottom showed how value stock got sold this round.

When $USD is down all asset types and all the world should be happy.

 

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大千曆史上有過成功預測頂部的先例嗎 -晚春123- 給 晚春123 發送悄悄話 (174 bytes) () 12/21/2024 postreply 08:39:23

如果降息而不擴表,那麽需要套息交易或者商業銀行信用擴張來接力 -楚懷沙- 給 楚懷沙 發送悄悄話 (102 bytes) () 12/21/2024 postreply 10:46:38

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