CHAU--huge negative premium vs. csi 300

This is not a trade recommendation. 

 

There is roughly 5% negative premium in ASHR price over CSI 300. CSI 300 is up 21.19% as of Friday's close in China, while ASHR was up only 16.29% as of this point. The premium like any other premium will be abitraged away one way or the other. 

If you believe that CSI 300 will be down 5% rougly next monday, then you can argue that the 5% negative price primium is warranted;

if  you believe CSI will be down more than 5% next monday in  Chinese market, then ASHR or chau will go down more during the trading day next monday here. 

If you believe that CSI will be down less than 5% next monday in Chinese market, then a profitable buying opportunity may present to US investors.

To me, most of the time, the premium (either  way) is primarily driven by sentiment. like any other sentivement, it is just noice, any extreme level may be a buying/selling opportunity.

I am not recommending any trades here.  

 

   

所有跟帖: 

I am going to trust justbuy168 this time and buy some ASHR -三心三意- 給 三心三意 發送悄悄話 (47 bytes) () 11/08/2024 postreply 11:23:54

別忘了, RMB相對美元,在十月份,貶值了 2%. -沉默的老農民- 給 沉默的老農民 發送悄悄話 (122 bytes) () 11/08/2024 postreply 12:52:54

This 5% difference just occurred from yesterday to today -三心三意- 給 三心三意 發送悄悄話 (0 bytes) () 11/08/2024 postreply 13:00:03

Same。今天人民幣跌了1%。 加上證昨晚跌了0.6%。 所以差不多啦。 -沉默的老農民- 給 沉默的老農民 發送悄悄話 (0 bytes) () 11/08/2024 postreply 13:23:14

Anyway, I added more today. -沉默的老農民- 給 沉默的老農民 發送悄悄話 (0 bytes) () 11/08/2024 postreply 13:25:47

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