Back online, some historical QQQ pattern (repost)

本帖於 2024-08-05 17:03:44 時間, 由普通用戶 三心三意 編輯

Sharing a few more QQQ chart patterns during the time 200D EMA was crossed for the first time when QQQ came down from the top. I pick a few dramatic moments such as Dotcom crash, 08 finanical crash, COVID crash, etc, but you can see these kind of patterns pretty consistently in other times as well. This is NOT 100% reliable but probablity is pretty high. Also, these are not the only patterns but I pick them as they are easy to recognize

GreenLine == 200D EMA

OrangeLine == 50D EMA

Pattern 1: QQQ penetrate 200D EMA, and not able to recover from it quickly (ie, in next 2-3 days), in majority of time, QQQ would go down much further. You can see this in 2008 crash  and 2022 crash (chart below)

 

 

Pattern 2: If QQQ manage to hold EMA200 and start to bounce (again, sometimes it takes 2-3 days to confirm), it would almost always rebound back and touch EMA50 again. See 2018 crash, 2020 Covid Crash, and 2000 Dotcom crash

所有跟帖: 

Thanks for sharing -QQQ_AI- 給 QQQ_AI 發送悄悄話 (0 bytes) () 08/05/2024 postreply 17:07:43

Pattern 2 highly likely this time -五穀不分- 給 五穀不分 發送悄悄話 五穀不分 的博客首頁 (0 bytes) () 08/05/2024 postreply 17:16:53

謝謝! 我看出來是有這麽一種規律,可是同時我又困惑並想到了先有雞還是先有蛋的問題 -這樣子- 給 這樣子 發送悄悄話 (233 bytes) () 08/05/2024 postreply 17:21:30

BTW, I have not been able to find a single time.... -三心三意- 給 三心三意 發送悄悄話 (322 bytes) () 08/05/2024 postreply 17:26:54

Pattern 3 of QQQ after touching 200EMA -Beyond_Soros- 給 Beyond_Soros 發送悄悄話 Beyond_Soros 的博客首頁 (100744 bytes) () 08/05/2024 postreply 18:48:16

技術好帖! -與莊共舞- 給 與莊共舞 發送悄悄話 (0 bytes) () 08/05/2024 postreply 19:55:21

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