the status of market

There are different kind of senarios:

a. Recession. If one believe that this the base case, he should sell from here;

b. Soft landing. If one believe that this is the base case, he may want to start to add after SOXX, QQQ, SPY have -20%, -10%,  -5% correction.

In the past couple of days, the market was discounting the recession senario.

Next Monday, we are doing the has ISM-service data. It will give us a confirmation one way or the other. 

 

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thank you -杭城一丫- 給 杭城一丫 發送悄悄話 (0 bytes) () 08/02/2024 postreply 09:34:00

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