外事不決問 ChatGPT

先發生美元需求劇減，流通性泛濫，各類資產價格膨脹。然後再來一輪更大規模的升息，縮表。

再然後，經濟影響力衰退，各種內軸開始，國力衰退，地緣政治重新平衡，曆史翻頁。

現在的全球貿易有近85%是美元交易，降到50%就意味著全球金融體係裏多餘了 > $10萬億, 比聯儲能縮的可大多了。

 

wWhat happens if global trades in usd drops below 50 percent ?

If global trades in USD drops below 50 percent, it could lead to a depreciation in the dollar1. However, as the dollar weakens, U.S. exports become cheaper to foreigners because they can get more U.S. dollars for the same amount of their currency to buy American goods1.

The world is shifting away from the US Dollar as their world reserve currency. In fact, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) recently announced that it would no longer use its US Dollar as its primary benchmark for assessing countries’ economic conditions2. While technically the U.S. dollar could collapse, it’s backing from the largest economy in the world and its status as the global reserve currency makes that highly unlikely3.

I hope this helps! Let me know if you have any other questions.