2. 估值來講，像傳統的 datacenter REIT DLR 估值在 P/FFO 20出頭， SMCI / DELL PE都在 20 以下。 IREN Q1 季報中 說 “Adjusted EBITDA was $92 million， 對於一個 32 Billion 的公司來講，margin of safely is low.
My analysis:
a) DLR valuation at P/FFO around 20--- assuming this is alright
b) SMCI/DELL PE --- it could be higher, but assuming it's ok
c) Adjusted EBITDA $92mil/quarter --- correct
d) Market cap --- $32B, here is the discrepancy! I found it’s actually $20B instead
e) Total debt--- $960mil (est.)
f) Cash & Equivalents-- $1B (est.)
g) EV = d)+e)-f) = ~$19B
Hence, DRL SMCI/DELL = EV/EBITDA = ~ 20 , and the margin of safety for IREN should be fairly decent, don’t you think? :)
