看定價

回答: 有打新的價值嗎?金光漫步2025-09-18 12:48:47

似乎認購不咋樣

下麵是AI: 

Potential Upside

  • Strong growth — H1?2025 revenue up ~35% to $1.14?B, with operations in 60+ marketplaces and 100+ countries.

  • AI?commerce positioning — Tools like Chessboard (ad spend optimization) and GEO Scorecard (chatbot optimization) put them in a sector projected to grow ~14.6% CAGR to 2032.

  • Marketplace dominance — Ranked #2 on Amazon US marketplace by seller reviews.

  • IPO market tailwind — 2025 has seen a rebound in US IPO activity, which can boost early trading momentum.

 

 Key Risks

  • Dual?class structure — Founders retain ~86.5% voting control post?IPO, limiting public shareholder influence.

  • Controlled company status — Can opt out of some Nasdaq governance requirements.

  • Insider selling — Half the shares in the IPO are from selling shareholders, meaning only part of the proceeds go to the company.

  • Platform dependency — Heavy reliance on Amazon and other marketplaces; policy changes could hit margins.

  • Valuation — At $13–$15/share, implied valuation is ~$2.64?B, which is ~23–30× revenue — high compared to some peers.

 

 How to Frame the Decision

  • Short?term play — Could benefit from IPO hype and AI?commerce narrative if demand is strong.

  • Long?term hold — Requires conviction in Pattern’s ability to sustain growth, diversify beyond Amazon, and improve margins — while accepting minimal governance rights.

  • Risk profile — Growth?at?a?premium story with founder?controlled governance; high potential reward but magnified downside if execution falters.

所有跟帖: 

裏麵的 Revenue 嚴重算錯了吧? Rev is 2.1 B, P/S is only 1.4 -Austin8- 給 Austin8 發送悄悄話 (135 bytes) () 09/18/2025 postreply 18:22:23

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