pulling numbers alone is not sufficient. you have to

look at it under the hood. for example, the break-down of age groups and the probability that they will actually go to vote. you also need some statistical model for projection.

所有跟帖： 

• 我的預測是和台灣大選結果差不多,08連任, 以小幅度領先.就象小馬哥一樣. -999朵玫瑰- ♀ (45 bytes) () 10/19/2012 postreply 14:33:54