美國、中國和虛假敘述的衝突

意外衝突
美國、中國和虛假敘述的衝突

Stephen Roach 2023 年 6 月 6 日

推動美中衝突升級的誤入歧途的力量，以及通往新關係的道路
 
“對暴躁且瞬息萬變的全球關係的及時、流暢、可讀的評估。”——柯克斯評論（加星號評論）
 
《金融時報》年度最佳圖書：經濟學
 
短短四年間，中美兩國先後進入貿易戰、科技戰和新冷戰。 如果不是因為虛假敘述的不必要衝突，世界上兩個最強大的國家之間的這場衝突就不會發生。 美國錯誤地將其貿易和技術威脅歸咎於中國，卻忽視了其搖搖欲墜的儲蓄基礎。 中國錯誤地將其增長挑戰歸咎於美國所謂的以市場為基礎的社會主義遏製，而忽視了其失敗的經濟再平衡。
 
在對兩國經濟、政治和政策的強硬分析中，斯蒂芬·羅奇 (Stephen Roach) 認為，雙方的許多言論都是危險的誤導，被信息失真放大，更多地反映了每個國家的恐懼和脆弱性，而不是可信的 評估他們麵臨的風險。 羅奇概述了中美衝突升級的災難性後果，提供了恢複互利關係的新路線圖。

Accidental Conflict

America, China, and the Clash of False Narratives

by Stephen Roach    6 Jun 2023

The misguided forces driving conflict escalation between America and China, and the path to a new relationship
 
“A timely, fluid, readable assessment of a testy and rapidly changing global relationship.”—Kirkus Reviews (starred review)
 
A Financial Times Best Book of the Year: Economics
 
In the short span of four years, America and China have entered a trade war, a tech war, and a new Cold War. This conflict between the world’s two most powerful nations wouldn’t have happened were it not for an unnecessary clash of false narratives. America falsely blames its trade and technology threats on China yet overlooks its shaky saving foundation. China falsely blames its growth challenges on America’s alleged containment of market-based socialism, ignoring its failed economic rebalancing.
 
In a hard-hitting analysis of both nations’ economies, politics, and policies, Stephen Roach argues that much of the rhetoric on both sides is dangerously misguided, amplified by information distortion, and more a reflection of each nation’s fears and vulnerabilities than a credible assessment of the risks they face. Outlining the disastrous toll of conflict escalation between China and America, Roach offers a new road map to restoring a mutually advantageous relationship.