Historical worst downturns in the U.S. stock market，哪段曆史會重演呢
1. The Great Depression (1929–1932)
- Peak-to-Trough Decline: -86.2% (Sept 1929 to June 1932)
- Recovery Time: 25 years to return to the pre-crash highs (1932-1954)
- Details: The Great Depression saw the stock market lose over 80% of its value, and recovery took decades due to a combination of economic collapse, banking failures, and the slow rebuilding of confidence in financial markets.
2. The 2008 Global Financial Crisis (2007–2009)
- Peak-to-Trough Decline: -57.7% (Oct 2007 to Mar 2009)
- Recovery Time: 4 years to return to pre-crash levels (2009-2013)
- Details: The 2008 financial crisis was triggered by the collapse of major financial institutions, excessive risk-taking in housing markets, and the subsequent global recession. The S&P 500 hit its lowest point in March 2009, and it took several years for the market to fully recover.
3. The COVID-19 Pandemic (2020)
- Peak-to-Trough Decline: -34.5% (Feb 2020 to Mar 2020)
- Recovery Time: 5 months (March 2020 to August 2020)
- Details: The pandemic caused an abrupt global market crash, driven by fear of widespread economic shutdowns and uncertainty. Despite the severity of the downturn, the market quickly rebounded due to fiscal stimulus, central bank intervention, and rapid recovery in tech stocks.
4. The Dot-Com Bubble (2000–2002)
- Peak-to-Trough Decline: -49.1% (Mar 2000 to Oct 2002)
- Recovery Time: 7 years to recover (2002-2007)
- Details: The dot-com bubble burst following excessive investment in technology stocks, many of which were overvalued. After the crash, the market slowly regained its losses, driven by economic growth, but tech stocks took years to return to pre-crash levels.
5. The 1973–1974 Oil Crisis
- Peak-to-Trough Decline: -48.2% (Jan 1973 to Dec 1974)
- Recovery Time: 5 years to recover (1974-1979)
- Details: Triggered by an oil embargo and stagflation, this period saw massive inflation, high unemployment, and a 70% spike in oil prices. The market didn’t recover until the late 1970s, after government intervention and stabilization of oil prices.
6. The 1987 Black Monday Crash
- Peak-to-Trough Decline: -34.0% (Aug 1987 to Oct 1987)
- Recovery Time: 2 years to return to pre-crash levels (1987-1989)
- Details: A global stock market crash on October 19, 1987, led to a quick decline. Despite the sharp drop, the market recovered relatively quickly due to strong economic fundamentals and low inflation.
Summary of Recovery Times
- Great Depression (1929-1932): 25 years
- Global Financial Crisis (2007-2009): 4 years
- COVID-19 Pandemic (2020): 5 months
- Dot-Com Bubble (2000-2002): 7 years
- Oil Crisis (1973-1974): 5 years
- Black Monday (1987): 2 years
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Historical worst downturns in the U.S. stock market，哪段曆史會重演呢
