Here's a breakdown of Tesla's 12?month price targets (average estimates from recent analyst surveys):
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MarketBeat (42 analysts): $293.67, implying ~?–8.8% downside from current price investors.com+11marketbeat.com+11fintel.io+11
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Fintel: $294.98 average target, range from $19.24 to $525 fintel.io
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StockAnalysis.com (37 analysts): $293.50 stockanalysis.com
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Yahoo Finance: $301.56
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MarketWatch / WSJ (54–?): average around $306.25, median $306, high $500, low $115 wsj.com
Summary
All major surveys report an average 12?month price target in the $294–$306 range, with a central consensus near $300/share. The full range of estimates spans $19 to $525, underscoring significant analyst divergence depending on their outlook on EV fundamentals, robotaxis, and regulatory aspects.
What it means for you
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Downside to ~$294–300 (~?–8% to –9%) expected from current levels.
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Bullish expectations (Piper, Wedbush, Morgan Stanley, etc.) project targets up to $400–550, citing long-term AI and autonomous upside investors.com+9marketwatch.com+9barrons.com+9.
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Bearish targets (Wells Fargo, Goldman, JPMorgan) land in the $120–$235 range, focused on delivery softness and margin pressures businessinsider.com+11barrons.com+11businessinsider.com+11.
Final Take
Consensus hovers around $300/share, but the wide spread highlights the polarized sentiment:
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If you believe in Tesla's AI/robotaxi upside, you might side with the $400+ camp.
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If you're cautious on macro trends, delivery volumes, or regulatory headwinds, the $250–$300 range seems more realistic near term.
